Anacta (formerly Talbot Mills).
Source reports and survey context. Accuracy ratings are not yet available.
2026-10-16 · Corporate clients (not individually identified)
Fieldwork 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-10 · 1352 respondents · online
New Zealanders aged 18 and over; nationwide survey. Original NZ Herald reporting by Katie Bradford, publicly syndicated by NZME/Newstalk ZB, published 16 October 2026 at 3:23pm NZDT. The full public article was read. These are the rounded headline shares; they total 98%. The original report does not specify the party-support denominator, undecided share, separate Other share or weighting. The 2-point gap can include rounding and unreported parties; it is not a measured Other result. Do not derive a residual from an unverified denominator. The article reports a 48% governing-party subtotal, while the displayed individual rounded shares sum to 47%. Separate rounding can explain that difference; it is not evidence of a contradiction. The unrounded subtotal cannot be reconstructed from the published whole-number party shares. The report states a maximum sampling error of ±2.7 percentage points at 95% confidence; online recruitment details are not supplied. Displayed in the archive but excluded from the polling average, prediction model and seat calculations until the complete composition and denominator are verified. Finer Opportunity/TPM figures repeated elsewhere were not substituted without an independently read original source. Fieldwork began before the frozen prospective window, so this survey cannot be a prospective test.