Independent public-opinion data2026 election cycle / Public beta
CAMPAIGN GUIDE · NEW ZEALAND 2026

Compare the parties.

See the proposals, follow the funding and read the evidence.

7 parties67 selected policy summariesChecked

Proposals and forecasts are party claims. Our checks trace the sources and arithmetic; coalition agreements may change delivery.

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Living costs & tax

Income, tax, savings and everyday costs.

13 summaries · 7 parties

ACT

1 summary

Untaxed qualifying KiwiSaver returns

Remove tax on qualifying retirement-fund earnings, while ending the government contribution for members receiving employer contributions.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Tax-free qualifying returns would leave more earnings inside retirement funds to compound, without requiring higher employee contributions.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • The government contribution would end for members receiving employer contributions; net gains depend on their balances and investment earnings.Evidence
Open questions
  • The $376m difference between standalone and fiscal-plan costs remains unexplained, and the anti-sheltering rules are not specified.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

ACT proposes removing tax on qualifying investment earnings within KiwiSaver. It would also stop the annual government contribution for members who receive employer contributions, and add safeguards against using KiwiSaver to shelter existing investment portfolios.

Who it covers
KiwiSaver members, subject to qualifying-investment rules and safeguards. The government-contribution change applies to members receiving employer contributions.
Timing
The cost tables cover 2027/28–2030/31; the reviewed paper does not state a precise commencement day.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The standalone paper nets to $2.396bn over 2027/28–2030/31. The consolidated fiscal plan’s tax-loss and subsidy-saving lines instead imply $2.772bn, a $376m source difference not reconciled in those papers.

The paper extends relief to non-KiwiSaver superannuation schemes. Different source editions are not automatically errors; the scope and changed assumptions need explanation. Individual gains and losses are not estimated here.

Sources reviewed
ACT: KiwiSaver investment earnings Policy page · Publication date not stated
ACT: full retirement-fund earnings paper Policy paper · Published
ACT: consolidated fiscal plan Policy paper · Publication date not stated

Green Party

1 summary

Income support and a wealth tax

Raise income support, introduce a tax-free income threshold and tax higher wealth, with family homes exempt.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • The tax-free threshold and individual benefit entitlements could improve available income for lower earners; family homes are exempt from wealth tax.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • The package raises tax on high incomes and qualifying wealth, including trust interests; liability is not limited to cash holdings.Evidence
Open questions
  • The tax model excludes most behavioural responses. A funded timetable for all benefit increases is not supplied in these sources.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

The Greens propose higher benefits, individual entitlements and an end to benefit sanctions. Their tax paper sets a $10,000 tax-free income threshold, a 45% rate above $160,000 and a 2.5% wealth tax above $10 million, with family homes exempt.

Who it covers
Taxpayers and people receiving income support. Wealth thresholds are $10m per individual or $20m per couple, with family homes and other specified assets exempt.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Wealth, inheritance and large-company tax changes would fund income reforms and public services. The full paper costs the tax package; a complete manifesto-wide spending reconciliation was not located in the reviewed sources.
Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — income Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Greens: tax policy and rates Policy page · Publication date not stated
Greens: full 2026 tax paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated

Labour

2 summaries

A weekly cap on public transport fares

Cap weekly public transport fares at $20 in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch, and $10 elsewhere.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A specific weekly cap and start date make eligibility understandable; automatic tracking would avoid a separate application for frequent users.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • The cap redirects 1% of existing transport funding; users spending below the cap get no cap-related saving.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • The reviewed pages give no dollar costing or breakdown of transport spending reprioritised, including how rising demand would be funded.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour proposes a $20 weekly fare cap in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch, and $10 elsewhere. Once a person reaches the cap, further covered trips that week would be free.

Who it covers
Bus and train users nationwide, plus some ferries in the three main centres. Scenic and interregional trains, commercial interregional transport and other ferries are excluded.
Timing
In place by 1 July 2027.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Labour’s fiscal plan identifies the National Land Transport Fund: it would reprioritise 1% of the fund for the fare cap. The reviewed fare-cap page does not give a total dollar cost.
Sources reviewed
Labour: public transport fare cap Policy page · Publication date not stated
Labour: Fiscal Plan 2026 Policy page · Publication date not stated

A targeted tax on property-sale gains

Tax future gains on investment and commercial property sales, with the family home and other specified assets exempt.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A defined start date and sale-based payment avoid taxing gains before July 2027; the family home and specified business reinvestment are exempt.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Sellers of covered investment and commercial properties would lose 28% of taxable gains; a starting valuation is also required.Evidence
Open questions
  • Health funding relies on future sale receipts. How resilient is the $2.8bn estimate to different transaction volumes, gains and implementation?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour proposes a 28% tax on gains made after 1 July 2027 when residential investment or commercial property is sold. Its policy exempts the family home, farms, KiwiSaver, shares, business assets, inheritances and personal items.

Who it covers
People selling covered property for a taxable gain. The page also provides an exemption when a small business sells its premises to buy larger premises.
Timing
Only gains accruing after 1 July 2027, with tax payable on sale.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Labour says all revenue would go to health. Its fiscal plan forecasts $2.8 billion of capital-gains-tax revenue across 2027/28–2030/31; this is a party estimate of future receipts, not a guaranteed amount.

The revenue estimate is from the party’s Fiscal Plan 2026 table, reviewed in the fiscal-plans section below. Transaction volumes, realised gains and implementation affect receipts.

Sources reviewed
Labour: property capital gains tax Policy page · Publication date not stated

National

4 summaries

No new taxes and a specific visitor-levy freeze

Commit to no new taxes and freeze the visitor levy for at least three years. Existing taxes and levies are a separate question.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • The visitor levy has a defined three-year freeze and a published council-allocation formula, making that particular commitment measurable.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • No new taxes does not stop bills rising under existing rules. The fiscal paper acknowledges bracket creep and leaves income-tax relief conditional.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Which existing taxes, levies and fees could still rise, and when would any funded income-tax relief begin?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National says it would introduce no new taxes if re-elected. This is not an explicit blanket freeze on existing taxes or levies. It separately promises no increase in the International Visitor Levy for at least three years.

Who it covers
Taxpayers generally. The specific levy commitment covers overseas visitors who pay the International Visitor Levy.
Timing
The proposed next term of government; the visitor-levy freeze is for at least three years.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The visitor-levy reset starts 1 July 2027; its $105.1m net operating effect over 2027/28–2030/31 is included in the new fiscal schedule. The 12 October plan does not allocate a costed income-tax cut or an indexation timetable; it leaves future relief conditional on growing surpluses.

The fiscal paper explicitly acknowledges bracket creep as wages and prices rise. The visitor-levy freeze is not a guarantee about every existing tax, levy, fee or charge. Extra receipts from existing tax rules are not the same as a new tax rate.

Sources reviewed
National: no-new-taxes commitment Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: visitor-levy commitment Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: full visitor-levy reset paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published

Compulsory savings, a Baby Boost and family support

Make worker retirement saving compulsory, raise contributions over time, and add a payment at birth and support during parental leave.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Automatic enrolment and parental-leave top-ups extend retirement saving, including contributions for eligible parents who are not contributing themselves.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Higher compulsory employee payments reduce money available now. Employers also face rising contributions; suspending employee payments would require the specified hardship test.Evidence
Open questions
  • What explains the included $140.2m employer-cost revision, and what model supports the newly counted $506.1m net tax offset?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National would make KiwiSaver or an equivalent scheme compulsory for workers, lift combined default contributions to 12% by 2032, add $1,500 at birth and fund parental-leave contributions.

Who it covers
Workers, including the self-employed at the employee rate only. Equivalent employer schemes, parental leave and hardship have specified exceptions. Compulsory employer contributions would extend to contributing workers over 65.
Timing
Baby payments, parental-leave top-ups and over-65 employer contributions from 1 July 2027. Compulsory savings from 1 July 2028; employee and employer defaults reach 6% each on 1 April 2032.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The new plan implies $784m net over 2027/28–2030/31: $1,290.1m costs less a $506.1m net tax offset. Crown-employer costs are $140.2m above the original paper; changed assumptions need explanation. The tax offset already deducts reduced income tax.

The original paper excluded uncertain tax receipts. The consolidated plan includes them without publishing the model. The separate parental top-up revision is explained by longer parental leave; a costing revision alone is not a funding hole.

Sources reviewed
National: original KiwiSaver paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: consolidated fiscal plan Policy paper · Published

Extend and share paid parental leave

Extend paid parental leave to 30 weeks in stages and let parents share or overlap the same combined entitlement.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Adds paid weeks on a dated rollout and lets eligible parents choose overlapping leave, offering more flexibility around a new child.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • More weeks do not raise the weekly payment cap or expand eligibility. Overlapping leave uses the same total entitlement, rather than doubling it.Evidence
Open questions
  • When would shared-leave rules commence, and what fiscal conditions would trigger the longer-term 40-week ambition?Evidence

Party proposal

National would extend paid parental leave from 26 to 30 weeks in stages and allow parents to share or overlap the same combined entitlement. A 40-week longer-term ambition depends on future fiscal conditions.

Who it covers
Eligible parents under existing eligibility and maximum weekly-payment settings. Sharing the entitlement does not double the total weeks available for a child.
Timing
27 weeks from 1 July 2027, 28 from 1 July 2028 and 30 from 1 July 2029, for entitlements commencing on or after each date.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Displayed extension costs sum to $327.5m over 2027/28–2030/31, matching the fiscal plan. The standalone $327.4m total differs by $0.1m, consistent with rounding. The $121.9m KiwiSaver top-up is a separate row; shared-leave administration uses existing baselines.
Sources reviewed
National: parental-leave paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published

Jobseeker support, lower long-term payments and residency rules

Add employment support, reduce long-term Jobseeker payments and change residency rules, with specified protections for existing recipients and exemptions.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Targets practical case management and employment support at 30,000 work-ready Jobseekers, including specified places and programme funding for young people.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Lower long-term payments and longer eligibility waits reduce support for affected households, even when they have not secured a job.Evidence
Open questions
  • How robust are programme outcomes and hardship offsets, and how would drug-test safeguards and treatment access work?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National would add intensive employment support, reduce Jobseeker payments after two of the previous three years, introduce random drug tests and extend the main-benefit residency requirement.

Who it covers
The employment programme targets 30,000 work-ready Jobseekers. Long-term payment reductions are smaller for households with children; Supported Living Payment is unchanged. Existing main-benefit recipients, refugees and protected persons retain specified protections from the residency change.
Timing
Long-term payment reductions and the five-year residency requirement from 1 April 2028. The employment and savings table covers 2027/28–2030/31.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The plan uses $583m net savings, including $11m initial net cost. The welfare paper’s main saving is $572m from reduced payments, with other assistance offsetting one-fifth of the reduction; it does not assume extra employment-response savings from that payment change. Drug testing uses around $1.5m annually from MSD baselines.
Sources reviewed
National: welfare policy paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published

NZ First

3 summaries

Annual grants for a child’s first three years

Pay $5,000 annually during the first three years for each of a family’s first three eligible children.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Provides regular tax-free support alongside existing assistance, with a first-child lump-sum option to help with preparation costs.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Not means-tested, so funding also goes to higher-income families. Children without a citizen parent and fourth or later children are excluded.Evidence
Open questions
  • Is the $400m estimate annual or cumulative, what funds it, and which births qualify when the scheme starts?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First proposes a tax-free $5,000 annual grant for each of a family’s first three children during their first three years. Payments would normally be monthly, with an upfront first-year payment option for the first child.

Who it covers
Families with at least one New Zealand-citizen parent. The party says the payment would not be means-tested and would sit alongside existing support.
Timing
Paid for each eligible child’s first three years; no programme launch date is specified.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The party estimates a $400 million cost by the third year of full operation. The reviewed page does not specify a funding source.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: Kiwi Kids Grant Policy page · Publication date not stated

A lower company-tax rate for smaller businesses

Lower company tax to 20% for businesses with turnover below $30m.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Could leave profitable eligible companies more cash for reinvestment; the turnover threshold and proposed company-tax rate are clearly stated.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Costs about $1bn annually at first. Companies above the cutoff do not receive this rate; growth receipts would arrive later, if achieved.Evidence
Open questions
  • What evidence supports the claimed growth offset, and how would the initial revenue loss be financed?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First proposes reducing company tax to 20% for companies with turnover below $30 million, from the 28% rate cited in its policy.

Who it covers
Companies with turnover under $30 million. This is a company-tax proposal, not a personal income-tax cut.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
NZ First estimates an initial fiscal cost of about $1 billion a year. It says subsequent growth would cover that cost in the medium term; this is the party’s forecast, not an independently verified offset.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: smaller-company tax proposal Policy page · Publication date not stated

Working for Families and minimum wages

Increase Working for Families support and raise the minimum wage by at least inflation during the next term.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A permanent in-work credit boost could make support more predictable; inflation-linked minimum-wage increases give the next term a clear wage floor.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • The tax-credit change costs $500–600m annually; employers fund higher minimum wages. The proposed credit remains support for eligible working families.Evidence
Open questions
  • What exactly is the final credit entitlement, when would it start, and how is the annual cost funded?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First would retain the temporary $50 weekly Working for Families boost, add $70, and increase minimum wages by at least inflation each year of the next term.

Who it covers
Eligible working families and minimum-wage workers. The page’s wording around the total credit is ambiguous; it is not treated as a settled individual entitlement here.
Timing
The minimum-wage commitment is for each year of the next term. No precise Working for Families start date is stated.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The party estimates $500–600m annually for the Working for Families change. No specific funding source or independent offset is given.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: Working for Families and minimum wages Announcement · Published

Opportunity (TOP)

1 summary

Citizen’s income, land tax and compulsory saving

Combine a citizen’s income, urban and rural land taxes, and compulsory retirement saving through a staged transition.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A specified citizen’s income and published transition plan make the proposed support easier to inspect; top-ups, exemptions and deferrals recognise different needs.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Landowners face a recurring tax and workers higher compulsory saving. Replacing benefits changes entitlements, even with the proposed protections.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Explain the $68m revenue mismatch (components are higher, not lower), update 2024 inputs and publish year-by-year transition funding.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

The Tax Reset paper proposes $19,400 annual citizen’s income for eligible adults, replacing many benefits with top-ups. It pairs this with 1.75% urban and 0.5% rural land-value tax and phased compulsory retirement saving.

Who it covers
Eligible adult residents, with top-ups for some groups. Land-tax exemptions include communal Māori land, conservation land and social housing; superannuitant deferrals and limited farm deferrals are proposed.
Timing
Two years of planning before the first elements; income and tax changes would extend through age cohorts over a proposed decade. Employee and employer retirement contributions would gradually reach 6% each.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The full paper gives a Tax Reset costing based on 2024 inputs. Its printed totals imply $4.081 billion extra net revenue annually at full implementation, but listed revenue components do not reconcile with the printed total.

The $68m difference is a revenue-table mismatch, not evidence of missing funding. The printed net-revenue estimate is not a government-wide surplus forecast. See Funding & checks for the calculation and limits.

Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Tax Reset Policy page · Publication date not stated
Opportunity: full Tax Reset paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Opportunity: proposed transition Policy paper · Publication date not stated

Te Pāti Māori

1 summary

Tax revenue for housing and public services

Introduce a tax-free income threshold and higher wealth and company taxes, alongside a targeted kai rebate.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Specified income and wealth thresholds make the proposed distribution clearer; the paper itemises tax changes alongside income-tax relief and a kai rebate.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Relief is paired with higher company and wealth taxes. Wealth liability can apply to assets rather than cash, making valuation and payment arrangements important.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify the +$4.1bn figure’s period and modelling assumptions, reconcile the $60,000 rebate boundary, and show implementation and compliance costs.Evidence

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori proposes a $30,000 tax-free income threshold, graduated net-wealth taxes, company tax of 33%, and a targeted kai tax rebate rather than a general GST exemption.

Who it covers
The wealth-tax paper exempts the first $2m per person, then applies 1.5%, 2% and 2.5% bands. The kai rebate’s $60,000 income boundary is worded differently in its table and prose and needs clarification.
Timing
Manifesto 2026; the paper does not state an implementation date or the fiscal period for its table.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The tax-table changes net to +$4.1bn at the displayed precision, with no stated period. Detailed tax modelling and a consolidated spending/borrowing schedule are not supplied.
Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: tax summary Policy page · Publication date not stated
Te Pāti Māori: full 2026 tax paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated

Selected coverage, not a ranking of policy quality. How we review the sources

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