Independent public-opinion data2026 election cycle / Public beta
CAMPAIGN GUIDE · NEW ZEALAND 2026

Compare the parties.

See the proposals, follow the funding and read the evidence.

7 parties67 selected policy summariesChecked

Proposals and forecasts are party claims. Our checks trace the sources and arithmetic; coalition agreements may change delivery.

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67 summaries · 7 parties

ACT

8 summaries
Living costs & tax

Untaxed qualifying KiwiSaver returns

Remove tax on qualifying retirement-fund earnings, while ending the government contribution for members receiving employer contributions.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Tax-free qualifying returns would leave more earnings inside retirement funds to compound, without requiring higher employee contributions.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • The government contribution would end for members receiving employer contributions; net gains depend on their balances and investment earnings.Evidence
Open questions
  • The $376m difference between standalone and fiscal-plan costs remains unexplained, and the anti-sheltering rules are not specified.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

ACT proposes removing tax on qualifying investment earnings within KiwiSaver. It would also stop the annual government contribution for members who receive employer contributions, and add safeguards against using KiwiSaver to shelter existing investment portfolios.

Who it covers
KiwiSaver members, subject to qualifying-investment rules and safeguards. The government-contribution change applies to members receiving employer contributions.
Timing
The cost tables cover 2027/28–2030/31; the reviewed paper does not state a precise commencement day.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The standalone paper nets to $2.396bn over 2027/28–2030/31. The consolidated fiscal plan’s tax-loss and subsidy-saving lines instead imply $2.772bn, a $376m source difference not reconciled in those papers.

The paper extends relief to non-KiwiSaver superannuation schemes. Different source editions are not automatically errors; the scope and changed assumptions need explanation. Individual gains and losses are not estimated here.

Sources reviewed
ACT: KiwiSaver investment earnings Policy page · Publication date not stated
ACT: full retirement-fund earnings paper Policy paper · Published
ACT: consolidated fiscal plan Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Health

A longer-term medicines funding path

Increase medicines’ share of the health budget along a seven-year path, using forecast growth in existing health funding.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A published funding path could help Pharmac plan purchases beyond a single Budget, with medicines still subject to its assessment process.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Reserving more forecast health-budget growth for medicines leaves less of that growth for other health priorities.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • The 2025-based projections need updating, including what happens if forecast health-budget growth or cross-party support does not materialise.Evidence 1Evidence 2Evidence 3

Party proposal

ACT proposes increasing the medicines share of the health budget by one percentage point each year, aiming to match Australia by 2033. It would set future Pharmac increases in advance and seek other parties’ support for the same path.

Who it covers
Patients who could benefit from additional publicly funded medicines. Pharmac would retain its assessment role; this is not a guarantee of a particular treatment.
Timing
The full paper’s allocation path begins in 2027/28 and reaches a 12% medicines share in 2033/34.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The paper projects medicines budgets rising from $2.0–2.2bn to $5.4–6.1bn, reallocating expected health-budget growth rather than increasing total health spending. Its 2025 Treasury model inputs predate PREFU; annual allocation increases are not a net policy cost to add together.
Sources reviewed
ACT: medicines funding proposal Policy page · Publication date not stated
ACT: proposed cross-party medicines path Announcement · Published
ACT: full medicines paper Policy paper · Published
Housing

Consenting rules based on physical effects

Base consent restrictions on physical effects, with measurable freshwater standards and protection for physical heritage and settlement rights.

Current policy positionParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Offers a stated physical-effects test and keeps heritage, ecosystems and Treaty settlement rights within consent assessment.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Purely spiritual or religious concerns would no longer justify consent conditions, changing how those values are represented in planning.Evidence
Open questions
  • The page does not define new freshwater thresholds or how councils would distinguish physical from spiritual effects in disputed cases.Evidence

Party proposal

ACT proposes excluding purely religious or spiritual effects as grounds for consent restrictions and prohibiting compulsory religious observances in consent conditions. It would replace Te Mana o te Wai with measurable freshwater standards.

Who it covers
Applicants for covered planning consents. The party says physical heritage, urupā, archaeological sites, customary physical uses and Treaty settlement rights would still be addressed.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
No total cost or funding source specified in the reviewed source.
Sources reviewed
ACT: infrastructure consenting rules Policy page · Publication date not stated
Education

More choice when buying school uniforms

Limit compulsory branded uniform items to three and let families buy generic everyday clothing from ordinary retailers.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Generic everyday items and a three-item branding limit could expand shopping choice, while retaining specialist-uniform exemptions.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Schools would lose discretion to require additional branded everyday items; excluded sports and kapa haka uniforms could still add costs.Evidence
Open questions
  • The page gives no start date, enforcement arrangements or supporting savings model; actual savings would depend on uniform requirements and prices.Evidence

Party proposal

ACT would limit state schools to three compulsory branded uniform items and require generic options for everyday clothing such as trousers and socks. Families could buy those items from ordinary clothing retailers.

Who it covers
State-school families. Sports strips, kapa haka uniforms and tracksuits would be excluded from the proposed rules.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
This is a proposed change to education law. The reviewed page does not provide a programme cost or quantified household saving.
Sources reviewed
ACT: school uniform rules Policy page · Publication date not stated
Energy & climate

More electricity investment and connection choices

Expand solar export and connection choices, allow household power sales to a different provider, and encourage electricity investment.

Current policy positionParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Buying and selling through different providers, and competing connection contractors, could expand options for solar households and new generators.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Solar exports still depend on network capacity. Users of private transmission lines would pay agreed charges, with technical protections continuing.Evidence
Open questions
  • The page sets no implementation timetable or public cost; the rules for metering, tariffs and consumer protection need detail.Evidence

Party proposal

ACT proposes letting households sell power to a different provider from the one they buy from, allowing more solar exports where networks have capacity, and opening eligible connection work to competition. It opposes forced break-ups of major electricity companies.

Who it covers
Households generating electricity, new generators and electricity customers. Technical standards, metering, network charges and consumer protections would apply.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Investors would finance private transmission lines, with users paying through voluntary agreements. No total public cost is specified in the reviewed page.
Sources reviewed
ACT: electricity investment and competition Policy page · Publication date not stated
Work & business

Wage and employment rules for businesses

Freeze the adult minimum wage for three years, introduce an under-20 training rate, and change employment disputes, exit negotiations, union-fee collection and digital-investment deductions.

Current policy positionParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Specified wage periods and dispute deadlines could give employers more predictable hiring costs and processes.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • A wage freeze limits increases for the lowest-paid workers; the youth rate permits substantially lower pay. Shorter proceedings need accessible safeguards.Evidence
Open questions
  • Clarify coercion protections, what qualifies as training, and tax-revenue effects. The full paper was unavailable and the fiscal schedule does not identify this package separately.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

ACT proposes freezing the adult minimum wage for three years and a training wage at 60% for under-20s during their first year with an employer. It also proposes protected exit negotiations, filing Authority proceedings within three months of raising a grievance, voluntary employer collection of union fees and clearer digital-investment deductions.

Who it covers
Employers, employees, unions and workers under 20. The proposed training wage is tied to an employer's first 12 months of employment.
Timing
A three-year wage freeze; no commencement date is stated in the accessible summary.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The summary gives no total cost. ACT's consolidated fiscal schedule has no separately named small-business-package line; some initiatives remain unannounced.

The official summary was reviewed. Its linked full business paper could not be retrieved; it may contain further safeguards and cost details.

Sources reviewed
ACT: Backing Small Business Policy page · Publication date not stated
ACT: Fiscal Plan 2026 Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Education

Teacher powers and classroom behaviour

Expand teachers' authority to remove disruptive students to supervised spaces, strengthen responses to assaults, and require parent engagement with penalties for unexplained missed meetings.

Current policy positionParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A supervised response below formal suspension could protect classmates' learning time while keeping the removed student on site.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Physical removal, fines and damage debts increase the need for proportionate decisions, disability support and practical safeguards for families.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify staff training, supervision resources and review routes. Neither the accessible summary nor a separately named fiscal line resolves these implementation questions.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

ACT would let teachers send seriously or persistently disruptive students to a supervised room, with escalation before reasonable physical removal. It proposes mandatory stand-down or suspension after assaults, parent meetings, fines for unexplained non-attendance and recovery of deliberate property-damage costs.

Who it covers
Schools, students and parents. Removed students must stay supervised; empty or lockable rooms and corporal punishment would remain prohibited.
Timing
No implementation date is specified in the accessible summary.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The summary gives no staffing or implementation cost. The fiscal plan has no separately named behaviour-policy line and retains unannounced initiatives.

The linked full behaviour paper could not be retrieved. The summary caps missed-meeting fines at $300 initially and $3,000 for later offences, with a reasonable-excuse exception.

Sources reviewed
ACT: Disrupt the Class, Leave the Class Policy page · Publication date not stated
ACT: Fiscal Plan 2026 Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Democracy & Te Tiriti

Complete historical claims, then close the Tribunal

Keep eligible historical Treaty claims until completed, end contemporary Tribunal inquiries and close it after that work, alongside stronger statutory property-rights protections.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Linking closure to completed claims rather than an arbitrary date provides an explicit safeguard against cutting historical cases short.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Ending contemporary jurisdiction removes a Treaty-specific avenue for reviewing current Crown conduct. Proposed property protections address only part of that wider remit.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Explain pending contemporary cases, affordable court access and how declining funding would still complete historical work properly; transition costs are not quantified.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

ACT would end the Waitangi Tribunal's contemporary jurisdiction, retain historical claims lodged by 1 September 2008 and disestablish the Tribunal once that work finishes. It also proposes adding property-rights protections to the Bill of Rights Act, with claims against the Crown pursued through ordinary courts.

Who it covers
Historical Treaty claimants, people raising contemporary Crown grievances, property owners and the Tribunal.
Timing
Closure depends on completing eligible historical claims, with no fixed calendar deadline.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The full paper says funding would reduce with the remaining workload, but quantifies neither savings nor transition costs. The consolidated plan has no separate Tribunal line.
Sources reviewed
ACT: Wind up the Waitangi Tribunal Policy page · Publication date not stated
ACT: full historical settlements and Tribunal paper Policy paper · Published
ACT: Fiscal Plan 2026 Policy paper · Publication date not stated

Green Party

10 summaries
Living costs & tax

Income support and a wealth tax

Raise income support, introduce a tax-free income threshold and tax higher wealth, with family homes exempt.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • The tax-free threshold and individual benefit entitlements could improve available income for lower earners; family homes are exempt from wealth tax.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • The package raises tax on high incomes and qualifying wealth, including trust interests; liability is not limited to cash holdings.Evidence
Open questions
  • The tax model excludes most behavioural responses. A funded timetable for all benefit increases is not supplied in these sources.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

The Greens propose higher benefits, individual entitlements and an end to benefit sanctions. Their tax paper sets a $10,000 tax-free income threshold, a 45% rate above $160,000 and a 2.5% wealth tax above $10 million, with family homes exempt.

Who it covers
Taxpayers and people receiving income support. Wealth thresholds are $10m per individual or $20m per couple, with family homes and other specified assets exempt.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Wealth, inheritance and large-company tax changes would fund income reforms and public services. The full paper costs the tax package; a complete manifesto-wide spending reconciliation was not located in the reviewed sources.
Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — income Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Greens: tax policy and rates Policy page · Publication date not stated
Greens: full 2026 tax paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Health

Work towards free primary and dental care

Work towards free primary and dental care, strengthen community services and increase medicines funding.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Free primary and dental care could reduce financial barriers, while mobile services and Māori-led clinics address geographic and service-access needs.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • More clinics, safer staffing and pay parity would require extra workforce and public funding, alongside removing patient charges.Evidence
Open questions
  • The chapter sets no full rollout date, total cost or annual funding path for free primary and dental care.Evidence

Party proposal

The Greens would work towards publicly delivered, free primary and dental care, including Māori-led community clinics. The manifesto also calls for mobile rural services, more sustained Pharmac funding, safer staffing and pay parity for primary-care nurses and hauora providers.

Who it covers
People using primary, dental and public health services, with particular provision for rural communities and Māori-led care.
Timing
The chapter describes a direction to work towards; it does not set a completion date for fully free primary and dental care.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Additional public funding is proposed for these services and Pharmac. This chapter does not state a total cost or a dedicated funding source.
Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — health Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Housing

Public homes and limits on rent increases

Build more public homes and cap annual rent increases at 2%, alongside stronger rental standards.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A defined rent cap could make increases more predictable for tenants, while additional public and accessible homes address housing needs.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Landlords would face a 2% annual cap, limits when changing tenants and an independently certified rental-quality standard.Evidence
Open questions
  • The chapter does not cost construction or compliance, set a delivery timetable, or explain exceptions to the rent cap.Evidence

Party proposal

The Greens propose tens of thousands of additional public homes, more papakāinga on Māori land, and an annual rent-increase limit of 2%. They would link rent in a new tenancy to the previous tenancy and strengthen rental quality checks.

Who it covers
Renters, people needing public or accessible housing, and papakāinga developments. The chapter also proposes same-day accommodation for people experiencing homelessness.
Timing
No delivery timetable for the proposed homes or rent changes is specified in this chapter.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The chapter proposes reversing tax advantages for landlords and property speculation. It does not provide a total housing-package cost or ring-fenced revenue amount.
Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — housing Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Energy & climate

Kiwipower, community energy and household solar

Create public Kiwipower, fund community renewables and support household solar with zero-interest loans, while transitioning away from fossil fuels.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Household, public-housing and community projects could widen access to clean energy; specified funding and a four-year solar target improve accountability.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • New public generation exposes the Crown to investment and delivery risk. Fossil-fuel restrictions require renewable supply and dry-year alternatives to arrive in time.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Specify Kiwipower’s capital, the funds’ fiscal periods and loan terms, and publish a costed delivery and security-of-supply plan.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

The Greens propose publicly owned Kiwipower to invest in renewable generation and dry-year security; zero-interest solar and battery loans; renter solar rights; and expanded Warmer Kiwi Homes. They would invest in community and Māori renewable energy, put solar on more than half of public homes within four years, establish a single energy regulator and Ministry for Energy, ban new fossil-fuel extraction, end fossil-fuel subsidies and cancel the LNG terminal.

Who it covers
Electricity users, public-housing tenants, renters, low-income households and Māori/community energy projects, alongside generators and industry.
Timing
The announcement targets solar on more than half of public homes within four years. No calendar rollout or fiscal period for all other elements is stated in the reviewed announcement and chapter.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The announcement specifies $200m for community-owned renewable energy and $80m for Māori housing renewables, without labelling either amount annual. It proposes funding through corporation and high-wealth tax changes. No total package cost or Kiwipower capital allocation is given in those sources; solar loans would be repaid.

The renewable infrastructure agency in the manifesto and Kiwipower in the announcement may describe overlapping roles; their institutional relationship is not defined in those two sources. The $200m and $80m commitments must not be shown as annual costs.

Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — energy Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Greens: Kiwipower and clean-energy package Announcement · Published
Democracy & Te Tiriti

Voting rights, donation limits and open lobbying

Expand voting rights, cap individual donations at $30,000 per election cycle and require open reporting of professional lobbying, alongside constitutional discussions grounded in Te Tiriti.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
Trade-offs & risks
  • Donation limits restrict private funding; disclosure, levies and reporting create compliance duties, with exemptions for ordinary democratic participation.Evidence 1Evidence 2Evidence 3
Open questions
  • Specify public campaign and constitutional-discussion budgets, lobbyist levy rates and a parliamentary timetable; explain how constitutional proposals would be agreed.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

The Greens propose voting from age 16, voting rights for everyone in custody, election-day enrolment, entrenched Māori seats and a constitutional conversation grounded in Te Tiriti. Their September package sets a $30,000 donor cap per party and its candidates per election cycle, individual-only donations, disclosure above $1,000 a year and professional-lobbyist registration with four-monthly reporting and a two-year stand-down for former ministers.

Who it covers
Voters, parties, donors, professional lobbyists and constitutional discussion participants. Ordinary MP contact, submissions, petitions, union bargaining and Treaty settlement negotiations are excluded from the lobbying regime.
Timing
The donation draft would commence after Royal assent and the lobbying draft six months after assent; both require Parliament to enact them. No calendar timetable for the wider voting or constitutional changes is stated.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The manifesto proposes public resourcing for constitutional discussions and campaigns without a total amount. The lobbying draft permits fees and levies on registered lobbyists to fund its commission; no levy rate or programme budget is set.

The bills are consultation drafts, not enacted law. The newer announcement specifies the donor cap that the broader manifesto chapter leaves open.

Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — democracy Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Greens: donation and lobbying reforms Announcement · Published
Greens: Regulation of Lobbying Bill — consultation draft Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Education

Free early learning and stronger learning support

Make early learning free, expand learning support and school lunches, and reset curriculum reforms with a long-term educator workforce plan.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Free early learning and wider learning support could reduce barriers for families and children with additional needs where coverage expands.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Ending for-profit early learning would require a substantial transition; expanded services also need educators and public funding.Evidence
Open questions
  • Set out annual costs, transition protections and the timetable for wider lunch and learning-support coverage.Evidence

Party proposal

The Greens propose free early childhood education delivered as a public good, ending for-profit provision; wider learning-support eligibility; and expanded locally made school lunches towards universal coverage. They would reset curriculum reforms and co-develop a long-term educator workforce plan.

Who it covers
Children, families and educators, including learners needing disability or health support and Māori-medium education communities.
Timing
The chapter describes these commitments without a dated implementation or transition schedule.
Cost & funding stated by the party
No total package cost or annual funding path is specified in the reviewed education chapter. Free early learning, support services and a wider lunch programme require public funding.
Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — education Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Education

Student income and tertiary education reform

Introduce a universal student income and paid required placements, reduce loan repayments and work towards fees-free study and a debt write-off.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Student income and paid required placements could make study more accessible without relying solely on additional borrowing.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Income support, institutional funding and debt relief compete for public resources; institutions also need enough suitable placement capacity.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify income rates, placement-funding responsibilities and a staged costed timetable, including who would qualify for debt relief.Evidence

Party proposal

The Greens propose a universal student income, including postgraduates, and at least living-wage pay for required work placements. They would expand free apprenticeships, reduce loan repayments and work towards fees-free tertiary study and a student-debt write-off, alongside stronger local polytechnic funding and governance.

Who it covers
Tertiary students, including postgraduates, placement students and apprentices; tertiary staff and local communities would also be affected.
Timing
No dated rollout. Fees-free study and debt relief are directions to work towards, without an immediate universal entitlement.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The reviewed tertiary chapter does not quantify the student income rate, total reform cost or annual financing schedule.
Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — tertiary education Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Work & business

Worker rights, wages and longer parental leave

Strengthen bargaining and gig-worker rights, protect time outside work, raise wage floors and expand paid parental leave.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Inflation protection, clearer worker rights and longer paid leave could improve income security and time for care.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Wage floors and employment obligations increase employer responsibilities; expanded publicly funded leave also needs a budget and delivery capacity.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify phase-in dates, leave payment rates and opt-out rules, with annual public costs and implementation support.Evidence

Party proposal

The Greens propose default union membership with an opt-out, wider strike rights, a right to disconnect and stronger protections for gig workers. They would guarantee minimum-wage increases at least matching inflation, pay publicly funded roles a living wage and extend primary-caregiver paid parental leave to 15 months with additional partner leave.

Who it covers
Employees, platform workers, employers and parents. Worker representatives on listed-company boards would be explored, rather than immediately required.
Timing
The workforce chapter gives no dated implementation sequence for these changes.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Publicly funded wage changes and longer parental leave would require public funding. No total or annual cost is specified in the reviewed chapter.
Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — workforce rights Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated
Work & business

A Youth Jobs Guarantee

Offer out-of-work 16–24-year-olds a pathway into jobs, education or training, with additional community jobs and expanded council-led support.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Combining local job creation with education and training pathways could help young people who face prolonged unemployment.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Employers and councils must create additional roles and support participants; placements alone do not establish lasting employment.Evidence
Open questions
  • The full costing paper remains unreadable here. Verify its budget, rollout dates and the period covered by 32,000 placements.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

The Greens propose a pathway into work, education or training for 16–24-year-olds out of work for six months. A Jobs for Young People pilot would fund additional community jobs, while expanded Mayors Taskforce for Jobs support would target 32,000 placements across all 67 councils.

Who it covers
Young people meeting the six-month unemployment criterion, with councils, iwi, businesses and community organisations involved. The page says programme jobs must not replace existing workers.
Timing
Announced 11 October 2026. A dated pilot rollout and the period for the 32,000-placement target were not verified from the available web sources.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Detailed funding and costings remain unverified: the official full-policy link could not be read during this review. The accessible web announcement and summary do not state a dollar amount; that is a source-access limit, not evidence the full paper lacks costings.

The guarantee includes education or training pathways; it should not be described as an immediate unconditional job for every young person. The placement target is not verified as annual.

Sources reviewed
Greens: Good Jobs for All of Us — youth guarantee Policy page · Publication date not stated
Greens: Youth Jobs Guarantee announcement Announcement · Published
Work & business

Local procurement and support for small firms

Buy more from local firms, expand small-business technology support and strengthen competition enforcement and sustainable regional development.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Local purchasing and better competition enforcement could broaden opportunities for smaller firms facing powerful incumbents.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Preference for local suppliers needs value-for-money safeguards; expanded grants and regulatory capacity require public resources. Their scale depends on grant eligibility and enforcement plans.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify eligibility, grant budgets, measurable procurement goals and how trade obligations and competition tests would be met.Evidence

Party proposal

The Greens would expand Buy Kiwi Made and origin labelling, direct more government purchasing to local firms, widen small-firm technology grants and rebates, and support sustainable regional industries. They also propose stronger competition rules and better-resourced enforcement.

Who it covers
Small local enterprises, technology firms, regional communities and Māori-led businesses, alongside consumers affected by competition changes.
Timing
No implementation date or staged programme schedule is specified in this manifesto chapter.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The reviewed chapter does not give grant amounts, procurement targets or a total cost for regional support and enforcement.
Sources reviewed
Greens: 2026 manifesto — small business Manifesto chapter · Publication date not stated

Labour

12 summaries
Living costs & tax

A weekly cap on public transport fares

Cap weekly public transport fares at $20 in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch, and $10 elsewhere.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A specific weekly cap and start date make eligibility understandable; automatic tracking would avoid a separate application for frequent users.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • The cap redirects 1% of existing transport funding; users spending below the cap get no cap-related saving.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • The reviewed pages give no dollar costing or breakdown of transport spending reprioritised, including how rising demand would be funded.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour proposes a $20 weekly fare cap in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch, and $10 elsewhere. Once a person reaches the cap, further covered trips that week would be free.

Who it covers
Bus and train users nationwide, plus some ferries in the three main centres. Scenic and interregional trains, commercial interregional transport and other ferries are excluded.
Timing
In place by 1 July 2027.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Labour’s fiscal plan identifies the National Land Transport Fund: it would reprioritise 1% of the fund for the fare cap. The reviewed fare-cap page does not give a total dollar cost.
Sources reviewed
Labour: public transport fare cap Policy page · Publication date not stated
Labour: Fiscal Plan 2026 Policy page · Publication date not stated
Living costs & tax

A targeted tax on property-sale gains

Tax future gains on investment and commercial property sales, with the family home and other specified assets exempt.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A defined start date and sale-based payment avoid taxing gains before July 2027; the family home and specified business reinvestment are exempt.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Sellers of covered investment and commercial properties would lose 28% of taxable gains; a starting valuation is also required.Evidence
Open questions
  • Health funding relies on future sale receipts. How resilient is the $2.8bn estimate to different transaction volumes, gains and implementation?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour proposes a 28% tax on gains made after 1 July 2027 when residential investment or commercial property is sold. Its policy exempts the family home, farms, KiwiSaver, shares, business assets, inheritances and personal items.

Who it covers
People selling covered property for a taxable gain. The page also provides an exemption when a small business sells its premises to buy larger premises.
Timing
Only gains accruing after 1 July 2027, with tax payable on sale.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Labour says all revenue would go to health. Its fiscal plan forecasts $2.8 billion of capital-gains-tax revenue across 2027/28–2030/31; this is a party estimate of future receipts, not a guaranteed amount.

The revenue estimate is from the party’s Fiscal Plan 2026 table, reviewed in the fiscal-plans section below. Transaction volumes, realised gains and implementation affect receipts.

Sources reviewed
Labour: property capital gains tax Policy page · Publication date not stated
Health

Three free primary-care visits a year

Provide three free doctor or nurse appointments each year at a person’s enrolled general practice.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A defined three-visit entitlement could reduce consultation costs, with phone triage outside the allowance and provision for non-digital users.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • The entitlement stops at three covered visits; additional appointments, after-hours care and ACC visits may still carry charges.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Reconcile the standalone and fiscal-plan cost lines, and show whether proposed capacity gains can meet demand for free appointments.Evidence 1Evidence 2Evidence 3

Party proposal

Labour proposes a Medicard providing three free doctor or nurse appointments each year at a person’s enrolled general practice. Clinical phone triage would not use up the allowance; unused visits would not carry into the following year.

Who it covers
People eligible for healthcare and enrolled at a practice. Already-free services, after-hours care and ACC visits are outside the three-visit allowance.
Timing
The page describes the full entitlement from July 2028, with programme spending starting in 2027/28.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Labour publishes $393.3 million for 2027/28, $553 million annually in 2028/29 and 2029/30, and $548 million in later years. It proposes funding the plan through its targeted property capital gains tax.

The standalone paper’s free-doctor line is $323m/$490m/$490m/$490m; the fiscal plan’s line is $297.8m/$464.8m/$483.6m/$503.1m. The different scope or assumptions need explanation; this does not establish an error or unfunded programme.

Sources reviewed
Labour: Medicard and general-practice plan Policy page · Publication date not stated
Labour: standalone Medicard paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Housing

Restart social housing construction

Restart Kāinga Ora construction and give community housing providers more predictable funding and a borrowing guarantee.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A quantified 6,000-home commitment, capital allocation and support for community providers give a clearer basis for tracking construction.Evidence 1Evidence 2Evidence 3
Trade-offs & risks
  • The $2.9bn capital commitment uses future investment allowances; rental subsidies and provider borrowing also need ongoing support.Evidence 1Evidence 2Evidence 3
Open questions
  • Reconcile the $745m announcement with fiscal-table housing lines, and publish completion dates, locations and provider-guarantee exposure.Evidence 1Evidence 2Evidence 3

Party proposal

Labour would restart Kāinga Ora construction; its fiscal table identifies 6,000 state houses. Community housing providers would receive more predictable funding and a government borrowing guarantee.

Who it covers
People needing social housing, community housing providers and construction workers. The 6,000-state-house figure comes from the fiscal table, rather than the shorter web announcement.
Timing
Start within a year of taking office; the official fiscal summary spreads Kāinga Ora capital across four years. No exact completion date for all homes is given.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The announcement gives $2.9bn capital and $745m operating support; the fiscal table separately shows $760m IRRS and other housing adjustments. That source difference is not reconciled. These are not annual programme costs.
Sources reviewed
Labour: Start Work Now — housing allocation Policy page · Publication date not stated
Labour: fiscal summary and capital period Policy page · Publication date not stated
Energy & climate

Finance and subsidies for household solar

Offer repayable solar finance, grants for eligible households, renter options and community batteries.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Finance, grants, renter options and community batteries address different upfront-cost barriers; the $160m package identifies its funding source.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Household loans remain repayable, and funding is moved from gas-security provision to solar support, changing the use of that money.Evidence
Open questions
  • Exact income thresholds, loan rates and terms, and the assumptions behind repayments staying below each household’s savings need detail.Evidence

Party proposal

Labour proposes government-backed solar finance, grants of up to $3,000 for eligible households, rules enabling plug-in solar for renters and a community battery fund. The loans would be repaid over time rather than making the equipment free.

Who it covers
Homeowners, renters and communities. The kickstart grants are for lower- and middle-income households; the page does not give exact income thresholds.
Timing
Advice, subsidies and the two loan schemes operating within 12 months of taking office.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Labour publishes $160 million over four years, repurposed from the Gas Security of Supply fund. This includes $77 million for household subsidies and $30 million for community batteries.
Sources reviewed
Labour: SolarSaver Policy page · Publication date not stated
Education

Cheaper uniforms, school lunches and rural buses

Limit compulsory branded uniforms, bring back fresh local school lunches, and restore cancelled rural school bus routes where possible.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Generic uniform options and locally prepared lunches could reduce school-day costs for affected families, rather than providing a general cash payment.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Restoring routes depends on practical local alternatives; lunch delivery also needs suppliers and school capacity.Evidence
Open questions
  • Clarify lunch coverage and reconcile the Term 1 2028 start with the fiscal table’s later first allocation.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour proposes limits on compulsory branded uniform items and cheaper generic alternatives, locally made school lunches funded at $5 per meal ($6.50 for Years 9–13), and restoring cancelled rural school bus routes where possible.

Who it covers
School families, participating school-lunch students and affected rural communities. The page does not promise every rural route can be restored.
Timing
Uniform changes and fresh school lunches from Term 1 2028. No fixed date for rural bus restoration is given.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The fiscal PDF lists $590.8m for school lunches in 2028/29–2030/31. Its first allocation is later than the web page’s Term 1 2028 start; scope and timing need reconciliation. Separate uniform and rural-bus amounts were not identified in that table.

The fare cap is covered separately under Living costs & tax. A timing or source-edition difference does not establish an unfunded programme.

Sources reviewed
Labour: Cutting Back-to-School Costs Policy page · Publication date not stated
Education

Cut qualifying student debt by 10%

Cut eligible graduate loans by 10%, with a three-year New Zealand residence route for current and future students and exclusions for Fees Free recipients.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Debt reductions could bring eligible borrowers’ final repayment date forward, rather than reducing every current repayment; income-based repayments remain available.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Fees Free recipients are excluded, and future graduates must wait three years; relief is not universal or immediate.Evidence
Open questions
  • Publish take-up and residence assumptions, and show how initial write-offs and later annual costs fit together.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour would reduce qualifying graduates’ outstanding student loans by 10%. Existing graduates qualify on 1 April 2027; current and future students qualify after three years based in New Zealand following study. Balances of $2,000 or less would be cleared under that three-year route.

Who it covers
New Zealand-based borrowers who have finished study, meet their loan obligations and did not receive Fees Free. Repayments remain income-based.
Timing
Existing eligible graduates: 1 April 2027. Labour expects the first three-year-route reductions in 2031.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The fiscal plan sets aside $420m capital for the initial write-off and $163.1m operating over 2026/27–2030/31. The policy estimates nearly $40m annually once fully running from 2031; costs use loan fair value rather than the face value owed.
Sources reviewed
Labour: Cutting Student Debt Policy page · Publication date not stated
Work & business

Expand apprenticeship support

Extend employer apprenticeship payments to two years, add a $1,000 starter grant and broaden eligible training with a mentoring pilot.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Starter grants and longer employer support could reduce entry costs and help apprentices complete training.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Subsidies still require employers able to offer work; payments do not by themselves create lasting job demand.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify mentoring coverage and completion measures, and test how many supported apprenticeships would be additional to those taken on without a subsidy.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour proposes $500 monthly employer payments for two years, a $1,000 starter toolbox grant, five additional training areas and a mentoring pilot. New areas include road construction, water and sanitary engineering, personal services, sales and marketing, and sports and recreation.

Who it covers
Employers and apprentices in accredited programmes, with expanded eligibility. Grants cover starting tools, kit, uniforms and course materials.
Timing
New areas, grant and mentoring pilot: 1 July 2027. Two-year employer payments: 1 July 2028.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The fiscal plan allocates $21m/$64m/$69.5m/$71.5m in 2027/28–2030/31: $226m total, or $56.5m annually on average. It is funded within Labour’s Budget allowances.
Sources reviewed
Labour: Apprenticeship Boost Expansion Policy page · Publication date not stated
Work & business

Restore pay equity and lift care workers’ pay

Restore the pay-equity claims process and give care and support workers a $4 hourly rise; other settlements would remain negotiated.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • The immediate care/support rise has a defined amount, start date and separate fiscal provision for the named worker group.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Later negotiated settlements would add Budget pressure; the immediate rise does not settle every pay-equity claim.Evidence
Open questions
  • Explain how future settlement costs will be prioritised alongside other service pressures and Budget limits.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour would restore pay-equity legislation within its first 100 days and recognise previous claim work. Care and support workers would receive an immediate $4 hourly increase; other settlements would follow negotiation.

Who it covers
An estimated 65,000 care and support workers receive the immediate increase. Other pay-equity claimants would use the restored process rather than an automatic immediate settlement.
Timing
Care/support increase: 1 January 2027. Legislation: first 100 days. Future settlement dates depend on negotiations.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The fiscal table costs the immediate rise at $279m in 2026/27 and $558m each year from 2027/28–2030/31: $2.511bn total. Labour says later negotiated settlements would be funded through future Budgets; those amounts are not quantified here.
Sources reviewed
Labour: Pay Equity Policy page · Publication date not stated
Work & business

Faster payments and support for small firms

Require faster payments, allow earlier asset deductions, lift the GST threshold and give small firms a larger share of government work.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Faster payments and earlier deductions could improve small firms’ cash flow; smaller tender lots could improve access to government work.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • The asset deduction changes tax timing rather than paying the asset’s full cost. Refocusing Investment Boost changes who receives investment support.Evidence
Open questions
  • Set out enforcement resources, procurement value-for-money safeguards and how the 15% target is measured.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour proposes a 15-day payment rule for large firms’ small-supplier invoices, a $10,000 immediate asset deduction and an $80,000 GST-registration threshold. Its separate Small Business First plan targets 15% of government contracts for local small firms and start-ups, with smaller tender lots and simpler information requirements.

Who it covers
Small firms: asset deduction for annual revenue below $10m; payment rule for invoices up to $25,000. Large payer tests and voluntary GST registration apply.
Timing
Payment legislation: first 100 days. Asset deduction: 1 July 2027. GST threshold: 1 July 2028. No exact procurement-target start date is stated.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The fiscal table allocates $1.354bn to the asset deduction and $210m to the GST change over 2027/28–2030/31 ($1.564bn combined), funded by refocusing Investment Boost. The policy page rounds the package to $1.56bn and gives $1.355bn for the asset deduction.

The asset write-off is a deduction from taxable income, not a dollar-for-dollar tax credit. The $1m difference between source editions does not establish a material funding shortfall.

Sources reviewed
Labour: Small Business Action Plan Policy page · Publication date not stated
Labour: Small Business First Policy page · Publication date not stated
Democracy & Te Tiriti

An independent Parliamentary Budget Office

Establish an independent Parliamentary Budget Office to scrutinise government finances and parties’ election policy costings.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Consistent independent costings could help voters compare fiscal promises using the same published methods, and the plan includes a defined operating allocation.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • The office requires ongoing public funding and access to information; its value depends on operational independence and credible methods.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Specify appointment safeguards, data-access powers and the publication timetable before the next election.Evidence

Party proposal

Labour proposes a Parliamentary Budget Office to independently examine government finances and cost parties’ election commitments on a consistent basis, giving voters information about fiscal trade-offs.

Who it covers
Voters, Parliament and political parties using or scrutinising independent costings.
Timing
The fiscal plan allocates operating funding from 2028/29. The policy does not specify the exact establishment date or whether every service would start then.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The fiscal table provides $3.5m annually in 2028/29–2030/31: $10.5m total, within Labour’s operating allowances.
Sources reviewed
Labour: fiscal strategy — transparency Policy page · Publication date not stated
Labour: fiscal strategy announcement Announcement · Published
Work & business

Māori-led training linked to local jobs

Fund Māori-led training with local employers, recognised qualifications and mentoring, open to Māori of all ages seeking better employment.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Provider-led training, mentoring and links to real employers could help participants gain recognised skills and sustain work in their communities.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Training still depends on employer demand and provider capacity; a funded place does not guarantee an additional long-term job.Evidence
Open questions
  • Identify the funding reprioritised, provider selection criteria and job-retention targets, then report whether supported outcomes exceed what would otherwise occur.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Labour proposes a contestable fund for Māori providers, including marae and iwi trusts, to deliver employment-focused training linked to local employers and recognised qualifications. Programmes would combine practical skills with mentoring and support to complete training and remain in work.

Who it covers
Māori of all ages seeking a first job, retraining or more secure work; Māori providers would apply to deliver programmes shaped around local skills needs.
Timing
As soon as possible after Budget 2027; no exact commencement day is given.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The policy specifies $21m annually through reprioritisation and existing baselines in Budget 2027. The fiscal table separately includes $21m in each of 2027/28–2030/31: $84m over four years. This is separate from Apprenticeship Boost.
Sources reviewed
Labour: Backing Māori into Skilled Work Policy page · Publication date not stated

National

11 summaries
Living costs & tax

No new taxes and a specific visitor-levy freeze

Commit to no new taxes and freeze the visitor levy for at least three years. Existing taxes and levies are a separate question.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • The visitor levy has a defined three-year freeze and a published council-allocation formula, making that particular commitment measurable.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • No new taxes does not stop bills rising under existing rules. The fiscal paper acknowledges bracket creep and leaves income-tax relief conditional.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Which existing taxes, levies and fees could still rise, and when would any funded income-tax relief begin?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National says it would introduce no new taxes if re-elected. This is not an explicit blanket freeze on existing taxes or levies. It separately promises no increase in the International Visitor Levy for at least three years.

Who it covers
Taxpayers generally. The specific levy commitment covers overseas visitors who pay the International Visitor Levy.
Timing
The proposed next term of government; the visitor-levy freeze is for at least three years.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The visitor-levy reset starts 1 July 2027; its $105.1m net operating effect over 2027/28–2030/31 is included in the new fiscal schedule. The 12 October plan does not allocate a costed income-tax cut or an indexation timetable; it leaves future relief conditional on growing surpluses.

The fiscal paper explicitly acknowledges bracket creep as wages and prices rise. The visitor-levy freeze is not a guarantee about every existing tax, levy, fee or charge. Extra receipts from existing tax rules are not the same as a new tax rate.

Sources reviewed
National: no-new-taxes commitment Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: visitor-levy commitment Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: full visitor-levy reset paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published
Health

More Pharmac funding and earlier screening

Add $604m to Pharmac over four financial years and deliver earlier screening, with some screening commitments already funded.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Sets screening deadlines and multi-year Pharmac funding, while the papers distinguish new spending from screening services already funded.Evidence 1Evidence 2Evidence 3
Trade-offs & risks
  • Partly financed by a $431.2m aid reduction over four years, leaving less funding for overseas assistance outside the Pacific.Evidence 1Evidence 2Evidence 3
Open questions
  • What capacity supports earlier screening, and how does the narrative's further $45.6m MFAT saving relate to the tables?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National proposes an additional $604 million for Pharmac over four financial years, more clinical trials and earlier cancer screening. It would lower bowel screening to age 50 and extend breast screening to age 74 by 2029, with free cervical screening from March 2027.

Who it covers
Patients eligible for funded medicines and screening programmes. The cervical-screening proposal covers women aged 25–69; Pharmac would decide which medicines receive funding.
Timing
Pharmac uplift in 2027/28–2030/31. Cervical screening from March 2027; bowel and breast screening targets by 2029.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The policy table shows $351.1m net operating cost and $41.5m capital over 2027/28–2030/31: Pharmac $604m plus bowel screening $178.3m less aid savings $431.2m. All appear in the new plan as separate rows. The narrative’s further $45.6m MFAT saving remains unidentified in the tables, which count fewer savings. Other screening commitments are already funded or use baselines.
Sources reviewed
National: medicines and earlier care Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: medicines and screening policy (PDF) Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: consolidated fiscal plan Policy paper · Published
Housing

Widen access to 5% home deposits

Raise the First Home Loan income cap to $300,000, keeping the lender’s affordability test for a 5% deposit.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Widens access to an existing low-deposit scheme while retaining lenders' affordability checks, addressing the deposit hurdle for more eligible buyers.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • A 5% deposit means a larger loan for the same home. Borrowers still pay mortgage-insurance costs and must meet lending requirements.Evidence
Open questions
  • When would the expansion start, and what fiscal period does the $4–6m estimate cover?Evidence

Party proposal

National would raise the First Home Loan income cap to $300,000 for all applicant types. Eligible buyers could use a 5% deposit, while lenders would still decide whether they can afford the mortgage.

Who it covers
Eligible first-home buyers within the proposed income cap. A smaller deposit does not remove the lender’s affordability test or guarantee approval.
Timing
Proposed for a re-elected government; no implementation date is specified in the reviewed sources.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The party paper estimates a fiscal impact of $4–6 million, funded from existing budgets. It does not specify an annual or multi-year period for that estimate.
Sources reviewed
National: First Home Loan access Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: first-home buyer policy (PDF) Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Education

School readiness, qualifications and learning support

Change school readiness checks, screens, qualifications and leaving requirements, alongside learning-support reforms already funded.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Readiness checks explicitly avoid pass/fail school entry and build on existing early-intervention support, giving identified needs a defined support route.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Screen restrictions narrow teaching choices; new reporting and qualification rules also require services to change practice.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • What staff time and resources are needed, and how will readiness checks, disability exemptions and the qualification transition be implemented?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National proposes school-readiness checks, screen-use rules, consistent term dates and qualification changes. Its manifesto also describes learning-support coordinators and teacher-aide hours as already delivered or funded reforms.

Who it covers
Children, families and schools. The coordinator proposal covers schools with Year 1–8 students; students would stay until Year 11 is completed or age 16, whichever is later, with exemptions for employment or further training.
Timing
NCEA replacement begins in 2028. The coordinators and two million additional annual teacher-aide hours are part of an already funded rollout from 2028.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The ECE paper refers to existing $266m Early Intervention Service funding. Screen-use changes are primarily regulatory; checks build on existing information. A whole-package new spending cost is not stated in these papers.
Sources reviewed
National: 2026 education proposals Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: school-leaving proposal and exemptions Announcement · Published
National: full education manifesto Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: early childhood paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Energy & climate

Property-backed loans for home electrification

Offer long-term, property-secured loans for solar, batteries, insulation and heat pumps. Borrowers repay them.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Spreads approved equipment costs over ten years through a specified financing mechanism, reducing the upfront payment for eligible property owners.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Households take on property-secured debt. Renters, owners below 20% equity and households in non-participating councils cannot access this loan scheme.Evidence
Open questions
  • What interest rates, affordability checks and launch timetable would apply, and which councils would participate?Evidence

Party proposal

National proposes a Home Energy Fund offering long-term loans for solar, batteries, insulation and heat pumps. Loans would be secured against the property and repaid through rates or on sale. It would also relax consent rules for small-scale renewable energy.

Who it covers
Ratepayers with at least 20% equity in their property, in participating councils. Council participation would be voluntary.
Timing
Loans repaid over ten years. The reviewed paper does not specify a programme launch date.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The paper proposes a one-off $7 million Crown equity investment for a 20% shareholding, with remaining investment from councils and the Local Government Funding Agency. Borrowers repay the loans.
Sources reviewed
National: Home Energy Fund Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: home electrification policy (PDF) Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Living costs & tax

Compulsory savings, a Baby Boost and family support

Make worker retirement saving compulsory, raise contributions over time, and add a payment at birth and support during parental leave.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Automatic enrolment and parental-leave top-ups extend retirement saving, including contributions for eligible parents who are not contributing themselves.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Higher compulsory employee payments reduce money available now. Employers also face rising contributions; suspending employee payments would require the specified hardship test.Evidence
Open questions
  • What explains the included $140.2m employer-cost revision, and what model supports the newly counted $506.1m net tax offset?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National would make KiwiSaver or an equivalent scheme compulsory for workers, lift combined default contributions to 12% by 2032, add $1,500 at birth and fund parental-leave contributions.

Who it covers
Workers, including the self-employed at the employee rate only. Equivalent employer schemes, parental leave and hardship have specified exceptions. Compulsory employer contributions would extend to contributing workers over 65.
Timing
Baby payments, parental-leave top-ups and over-65 employer contributions from 1 July 2027. Compulsory savings from 1 July 2028; employee and employer defaults reach 6% each on 1 April 2032.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The new plan implies $784m net over 2027/28–2030/31: $1,290.1m costs less a $506.1m net tax offset. Crown-employer costs are $140.2m above the original paper; changed assumptions need explanation. The tax offset already deducts reduced income tax.

The original paper excluded uncertain tax receipts. The consolidated plan includes them without publishing the model. The separate parental top-up revision is explained by longer parental leave; a costing revision alone is not a funding hole.

Sources reviewed
National: original KiwiSaver paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: consolidated fiscal plan Policy paper · Published
Living costs & tax

Extend and share paid parental leave

Extend paid parental leave to 30 weeks in stages and let parents share or overlap the same combined entitlement.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Adds paid weeks on a dated rollout and lets eligible parents choose overlapping leave, offering more flexibility around a new child.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • More weeks do not raise the weekly payment cap or expand eligibility. Overlapping leave uses the same total entitlement, rather than doubling it.Evidence
Open questions
  • When would shared-leave rules commence, and what fiscal conditions would trigger the longer-term 40-week ambition?Evidence

Party proposal

National would extend paid parental leave from 26 to 30 weeks in stages and allow parents to share or overlap the same combined entitlement. A 40-week longer-term ambition depends on future fiscal conditions.

Who it covers
Eligible parents under existing eligibility and maximum weekly-payment settings. Sharing the entitlement does not double the total weeks available for a child.
Timing
27 weeks from 1 July 2027, 28 from 1 July 2028 and 30 from 1 July 2029, for entitlements commencing on or after each date.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Displayed extension costs sum to $327.5m over 2027/28–2030/31, matching the fiscal plan. The standalone $327.4m total differs by $0.1m, consistent with rounding. The $121.9m KiwiSaver top-up is a separate row; shared-leave administration uses existing baselines.
Sources reviewed
National: parental-leave paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published
Education

Lower domestic loan repayments and increase overseas enforcement

Lower domestic student-loan repayments from 12% to 10%, while adding overseas penalties and enforcement. The debt still needs repaying.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Lower compulsory deductions would give domestic borrowers more income now, with a stated start date and voluntary extra repayments retained.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Lower payments delay clearance rather than forgive debt, while overseas borrowers face extra penalties. The Crown also receives repayments later.Evidence
Open questions
  • What cash/debt path accompanies the $296m valuation charge, and how robust are the overseas collection assumptions?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National would lower the compulsory domestic student-loan repayment rate from 12% to 10% and add penalties and enforcement for overseas borrowers. Lower repayments do not cancel the loan.

Who it covers
Domestic borrowers making income-based repayments and overseas borrowers covered by the enforcement proposals. Existing repayment thresholds remain relevant.
Timing
The domestic repayment-rate change starts 1 April 2027. The cost table covers 2026/27–2030/31.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The five-year net operating cost is $372.6m after forecast penalty revenue and enforcement recoveries, matching the fiscal plan. The $296m current-year charge is principally a loan-book valuation effect; slower cash repayments affect debt on a separate path not fully scheduled here.

The enforcement estimate assumes $25m gross annual recoveries for $10m of extra annual funding, leaving $15m net. This is a collection assumption, not a guaranteed return.

Sources reviewed
National: student-loan paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published
Living costs & tax

Jobseeker support, lower long-term payments and residency rules

Add employment support, reduce long-term Jobseeker payments and change residency rules, with specified protections for existing recipients and exemptions.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Targets practical case management and employment support at 30,000 work-ready Jobseekers, including specified places and programme funding for young people.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Lower long-term payments and longer eligibility waits reduce support for affected households, even when they have not secured a job.Evidence
Open questions
  • How robust are programme outcomes and hardship offsets, and how would drug-test safeguards and treatment access work?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National would add intensive employment support, reduce Jobseeker payments after two of the previous three years, introduce random drug tests and extend the main-benefit residency requirement.

Who it covers
The employment programme targets 30,000 work-ready Jobseekers. Long-term payment reductions are smaller for households with children; Supported Living Payment is unchanged. Existing main-benefit recipients, refugees and protected persons retain specified protections from the residency change.
Timing
Long-term payment reductions and the five-year residency requirement from 1 April 2028. The employment and savings table covers 2027/28–2030/31.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The plan uses $583m net savings, including $11m initial net cost. The welfare paper’s main saving is $572m from reduced payments, with other assistance offsetting one-fifth of the reduction; it does not assume extra employment-response savings from that payment change. Drug testing uses around $1.5m annually from MSD baselines.
Sources reviewed
National: welfare policy paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published
Democracy & Te Tiriti

Council rate limits and an independent regulator

Set a target range for council rates increases, with independent oversight, exemptions and community consultation.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A published range and independent exemption process could make rates decisions more predictable and easier for communities to scrutinise.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • A national range limits councils’ revenue discretion while infrastructure and essential services still need funding; exemptions become important.Evidence
Open questions
  • How would exemption tests, regulator funding and council transition work, and how would the range reflect different local pressures?Evidence

Party proposal

National would require councils to keep annual rates increases within a 2–4% target range, overseen by an independent regulator. Exemptions would cover exceptional needs or demonstrated prudent financial management, with community consultation required.

Who it covers
Councils and ratepayers; the proposed range includes a minimum increase as well as an upper limit.
Timing
Implementation in 2029, with council transition support.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The reviewed page does not separately cost the regulator or transition support.
Sources reviewed
National: Keeping rates affordable Policy page · Publication date not stated
Work & business

Small-business support and employment-law changes

Help first-time employers, simplify administration and minor employment disputes, and require minimum employee support before new collective bargaining.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • First-employer guidance and simpler records target practical compliance burdens. The dispute proposals retain fair-hearing safeguards and a separate route for serious cases.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • The bargaining-support test creates a new hurdle for initiating collective negotiations. Shared business data and faster procedures require the promised privacy and fairness safeguards.Evidence
Open questions
  • What would implementation cost, which agencies deliver each measure, and how would progress be measured? The paper distinguishes existing programmes from new commitments.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National proposes support for first-time employers, simpler recurring seasonal agreements and apprenticeship records, one-time business information sharing, and faster minor employment disputes. It would also introduce a minimum employee-support test before new collective bargaining begins, retain Investment Boost, and support 200 promising exporters.

Who it covers
Small firms, their workers and exporters. Bargaining would need support from the lesser of ten employees or 20% of the covered workforce, with at least two employees.
Timing
Employment-law consolidation in the next parliamentary term; no common launch date is stated for all new measures.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The full paper includes existing programmes and new regulatory or administrative proposals. It does not give a separate total for all 47 measures. Investment Boost is an existing deduction; the GST registration threshold is proposed for review, not a promised specified increase.
Sources reviewed
National: Small-business plan Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: full 47-point small-business paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated

NZ First

10 summaries
Living costs & tax

Annual grants for a child’s first three years

Pay $5,000 annually during the first three years for each of a family’s first three eligible children.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Provides regular tax-free support alongside existing assistance, with a first-child lump-sum option to help with preparation costs.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Not means-tested, so funding also goes to higher-income families. Children without a citizen parent and fourth or later children are excluded.Evidence
Open questions
  • Is the $400m estimate annual or cumulative, what funds it, and which births qualify when the scheme starts?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First proposes a tax-free $5,000 annual grant for each of a family’s first three children during their first three years. Payments would normally be monthly, with an upfront first-year payment option for the first child.

Who it covers
Families with at least one New Zealand-citizen parent. The party says the payment would not be means-tested and would sit alongside existing support.
Timing
Paid for each eligible child’s first three years; no programme launch date is specified.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The party estimates a $400 million cost by the third year of full operation. The reviewed page does not specify a funding source.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: Kiwi Kids Grant Policy page · Publication date not stated
Living costs & tax

A lower company-tax rate for smaller businesses

Lower company tax to 20% for businesses with turnover below $30m.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Could leave profitable eligible companies more cash for reinvestment; the turnover threshold and proposed company-tax rate are clearly stated.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Costs about $1bn annually at first. Companies above the cutoff do not receive this rate; growth receipts would arrive later, if achieved.Evidence
Open questions
  • What evidence supports the claimed growth offset, and how would the initial revenue loss be financed?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First proposes reducing company tax to 20% for companies with turnover below $30 million, from the 28% rate cited in its policy.

Who it covers
Companies with turnover under $30 million. This is a company-tax proposal, not a personal income-tax cut.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
NZ First estimates an initial fiscal cost of about $1 billion a year. It says subsequent growth would cover that cost in the medium term; this is the party’s forecast, not an independently verified offset.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: smaller-company tax proposal Policy page · Publication date not stated
Health

Prevention and nutrition in healthcare

Emphasise prevention and nutrition, add primary-care health coaches and reduce GP administration.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Includes independent guideline review and research trials, with primary-care coaching and less GP administration proposed alongside prevention.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • New coaching, reviews and trials need workforce and funding; the page does not explain how these fit alongside existing treatment services.Evidence
Open questions
  • What evidence standards would govern adoption, what would it cost, and when would additional staff be available?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First proposes a stronger focus on prevention, nutrition and metabolic health. Its plan includes reviewing dietary guidance, health coaches in primary care, fewer administrative requirements for GPs and research into nutritional interventions.

Who it covers
Primary-care patients, health professionals and researchers. The page describes this as the first announcement in a broader health plan.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
No total cost or funding source specified in the reviewed source.

This describes a party’s proposals. It does not establish the medical effectiveness of the proposed interventions.

Sources reviewed
NZ First: prevention-focused health plan Policy page · Publication date not stated
Energy & climate

Separate power generation from retailing

Separate major power companies’ generation and retail businesses and change electricity-market rules.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Long-term fixed-price contracts could make revenues clearer for new generators, while separating generation and retailing directly addresses the party's stated competition concern.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Guarantees and priority dispatch create obligations that need allocating; splitting companies also requires a major market transition.Evidence
Open questions
  • What would guarantees cost, how would equal solar buy/sell prices work, and how would restructuring be sequenced?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First proposes splitting major power companies into generators and retailers, changing electricity-market rules, and a national energy strategy. It would guarantee long-term fixed-price contracts for new generation and propose equal buy and sell rates for household-generated power.

Who it covers
Electricity customers, new generators and households generating power, such as rooftop solar owners.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The party proposes government guarantees for new generation. The reviewed page does not state a total cost or funding source.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: electricity-market proposal Policy page · Publication date not stated
Democracy & Te Tiriti

Replace the Waitangi Tribunal

Replace the Waitangi Tribunal with a commission for older claims and move contemporary work to the Ministry of Māori Development.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Sets out which bodies would handle historic and contemporary claims, plus a deadline for introducing legislation.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Contemporary claims would move from the Tribunal to a Crown ministry, changing how claims against government policy are scrutinised.Evidence
Open questions
  • How would independent review, claimant access and existing settlement obligations be protected, and what would the transition cost?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First proposes abolishing the Waitangi Tribunal and replacing it with a commission to complete claims from before 2008. It would move contemporary claims and Crown–Māori relations work to the Ministry of Māori Development.

Who it covers
Treaty claimants and the institutions handling Treaty claims, settlements and Crown–Māori relations.
Timing
Legislation tabled within the first 100 days after the election. Tabling legislation is not the same as it becoming law.
Cost & funding stated by the party
No total cost or funding source specified in the reviewed source.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: Waitangi Tribunal replacement proposal Policy page · Publication date not stated
Living costs & tax

Working for Families and minimum wages

Increase Working for Families support and raise the minimum wage by at least inflation during the next term.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A permanent in-work credit boost could make support more predictable; inflation-linked minimum-wage increases give the next term a clear wage floor.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • The tax-credit change costs $500–600m annually; employers fund higher minimum wages. The proposed credit remains support for eligible working families.Evidence
Open questions
  • What exactly is the final credit entitlement, when would it start, and how is the annual cost funded?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First would retain the temporary $50 weekly Working for Families boost, add $70, and increase minimum wages by at least inflation each year of the next term.

Who it covers
Eligible working families and minimum-wage workers. The page’s wording around the total credit is ambiguous; it is not treated as a settled individual entitlement here.
Timing
The minimum-wage commitment is for each year of the next term. No precise Working for Families start date is stated.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The party estimates $500–600m annually for the Working for Families change. No specific funding source or independent offset is given.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: Working for Families and minimum wages Announcement · Published
Energy & climate

Domestic fuel-security surveys

Invest in subsurface surveys and domestic fuel-security infrastructure over the next term.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A shared subsurface dataset and 12/24-month survey milestones make the initial research phase more concrete.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Public spending of $1bn precedes any proven commercial return. Surveys alone do not deliver fuel production or secure energy supply.Evidence
Open questions
  • What analysis supports the claimed over-90% discovery chance, what funds the surveys, and what are later development costs and safeguards?Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First proposes a National Subsurface Development Survey to identify domestic resources and support fuel security.

Who it covers
The energy system, survey organisations and potential domestic resource projects. A survey allocation is not approval or funding for every later development.
Timing
Initial results within 12 months and surveys of highest-ranked basins within 24 months; the investment is over a government term.
Cost & funding stated by the party
An initial $1bn over the term is proposed. No annual allocation or funding source is specified.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: fuel security Policy page · Publication date not stated
Housing

Citizen-priority social housing and population planning

Prioritise citizens for social housing and link a long-term population plan and proposed resident-visa cap to housing and infrastructure capacity.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Linking population decisions to funded infrastructure recognises housing and service capacity constraints.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Citizenship priority could change access for non-citizens in urgent housing need; it does not itself create additional homes.Evidence
Open questions
  • Clarify eligibility, existing tenants, need-based exceptions and how capacity would be measured. The announcement specifies no delivery budget or implementation schedule.Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First would prioritise citizens for social housing and develop a 30-year population plan linking immigration, housing and infrastructure. A referendum would propose a 20,000 annual resident-visa cap and population growth where infrastructure exists or is funded and scheduled.

Who it covers
Citizens and non-citizens needing social housing, councils and prospective residents.
Timing
Proposed for the next government term; no housing-rule commencement date is given.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The announcement gives no cost for the housing-priority rule, population plan or referendum, and no additional house-building allocation.

The wording establishes a priority, without explaining whether eligible non-citizens would be excluded or how housing need would be weighted.

Sources reviewed
NZ First: immigration reform announcement Announcement · Published
Education

ECE quality, curriculum advice and student support

Tighten ECE supervision and free-hours rules, establish independent curriculum advice, expand student financial support and support vocational pathways.

Current policy positionParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Group-based supervision and spot checks offer concrete accountability mechanisms, alongside support spanning early learning to tertiary study.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Higher supervision requirements need staffing; expanded financial support needs funding. A proposed council's independence depends on its appointments and powers.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify ratios, eligibility, new allowance thresholds, repayment matching and annual costs; the response supplies directions rather than an implementation plan.Evidence

Party proposal

A signed NZ First response proposes ECE group-based supervision ratios and spot checks, retaining 20 free hours without minimum-hours loopholes, and an Independent Curriculum Council. It also proposes higher student-allowance and loan-repayment thresholds, matching repayments for graduates working here, and vocational pathways.

Who it covers
Children, families, tertiary students and trainees.
Timing
No commencement dates or new thresholds are given.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The response gives no total cost or annual funding schedule for these proposals.

This party-signed response is hosted externally; it is not a consolidated manifesto or fiscal plan.

Work & business

A shortage-led skilled work visa

Replace employer-led work visas with occupation and regional shortage tests, domestic recruitment safeguards, a wage floor and stronger enforcement; end routine retail access.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Occupation and regional tests could make recruitment priorities more transparent; targeted enforcement aims to improve migrant protection.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • More recruitment evidence and narrower access add compliance demands for employers; shortage definitions may struggle to keep pace with changing needs.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify shortage criteria, the wage floor, worker-transfer protections and existing-visa transition arrangements. Their design and implementation funding remain unclear in the announcement.Evidence

Party proposal

NZ First would replace the Accredited Employer Work Visa with a Skilled Work Visa tied to an occupation, region and proven shortage. Employers would need genuine domestic recruitment or training efforts. It proposes ending routine retail access, a wage floor, stronger accreditation, targeted enforcement and transparency data.

Who it covers
Employers seeking migrant staff, migrants and domestic workers. Access would depend on demonstrated shortages rather than accreditation alone.
Timing
No commencement date or transition for existing visa holders is specified.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The announcement gives no administration or enforcement cost and no funding schedule.
Sources reviewed
NZ First: shortage-led work visa announcement Announcement · Published

Opportunity (TOP)

8 summaries
Living costs & tax

Citizen’s income, land tax and compulsory saving

Combine a citizen’s income, urban and rural land taxes, and compulsory retirement saving through a staged transition.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A specified citizen’s income and published transition plan make the proposed support easier to inspect; top-ups, exemptions and deferrals recognise different needs.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Landowners face a recurring tax and workers higher compulsory saving. Replacing benefits changes entitlements, even with the proposed protections.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Explain the $68m revenue mismatch (components are higher, not lower), update 2024 inputs and publish year-by-year transition funding.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

The Tax Reset paper proposes $19,400 annual citizen’s income for eligible adults, replacing many benefits with top-ups. It pairs this with 1.75% urban and 0.5% rural land-value tax and phased compulsory retirement saving.

Who it covers
Eligible adult residents, with top-ups for some groups. Land-tax exemptions include communal Māori land, conservation land and social housing; superannuitant deferrals and limited farm deferrals are proposed.
Timing
Two years of planning before the first elements; income and tax changes would extend through age cohorts over a proposed decade. Employee and employer retirement contributions would gradually reach 6% each.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The full paper gives a Tax Reset costing based on 2024 inputs. Its printed totals imply $4.081 billion extra net revenue annually at full implementation, but listed revenue components do not reconcile with the printed total.

The $68m difference is a revenue-table mismatch, not evidence of missing funding. The printed net-revenue estimate is not a government-wide surplus forecast. See Funding & checks for the calculation and limits.

Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Tax Reset Policy page · Publication date not stated
Opportunity: full Tax Reset paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Opportunity: proposed transition Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Health

A cross-party, ten-year health plan

Seek a cross-party, ten-year health plan with more primary, community and preventative care.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Long-term planning and stable community-provider funding could support workforce development and continuity of care beyond a single election cycle.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • The 9%-of-GDP goal requires more public funding. A cross-party agreement also depends on other parties accepting the proposed direction.Evidence
Open questions
  • The reviewed page does not set annual dollar allocations, a start date or a workforce delivery schedule. What would fund the increase?Evidence

Party proposal

Opportunity would seek a cross-party ten-year health plan, advocate health funding of 9% of GDP, and put more emphasis on primary, community and preventative care. Its policy also links health regulation to stronger lobbying rules.

Who it covers
Patients, health workers and community providers, including kaupapa Māori and iwi-led services with stable multi-year funding and equity goals.
Timing
A ten-year planning and funding path. No start date or annual spending schedule is specified in the reviewed web page.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The page advocates health funding rising to 9% of GDP over a decade. It does not give a full dollar cost or a dedicated funding source for the increase.
Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Healthy People Policy page · Publication date not stated
Housing

Simpler planning and affordable-housing finance

Simplify planning zones and modular approvals, strengthen rentals and expand affordable-housing finance.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Addresses both approvals and finance; pre-approval for proven modular methods could reduce repeated assessment while retaining protected planning zones.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Government finance and council GST refunds use Crown resources. Nationally consistent zones also reduce local discretion over planning categories.Evidence
Open questions
  • What is the full cost, when would reforms begin, and what lending safeguards and infrastructure funding accompany new construction?Evidence

Party proposal

Opportunity proposes ten nationally consistent planning zones, pre-approval for proven modular building methods, stronger rental standards and wider access to low-cost government finance for affordable and social housing.

Who it covers
Home builders, renters, councils, iwi and community housing providers. It would also expand home-energy improvements to eligible rentals and support more papakāinga and multigenerational homes.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The page proposes government finance and GST refunds to councils for qualifying new homes. No total package cost is provided in the reviewed page.
Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Affordable Housing Policy page · Publication date not stated
Energy & climate

A long-term renewable electricity strategy

Seek a long-term renewable-electricity strategy, support household electrification and change market oversight.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Combines a long-term generation target with household finance and community projects, addressing both electricity supply and upfront electrification costs.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Ring-fencing power-company dividends removes about $500m annually from general Crown revenue. Household loans remain repayable; regulatory consolidation also needs a transition.Evidence
Open questions
  • What replaces the diverted revenue, and how would annual investment, network capacity and dry-year backup keep pace with the generation target?Evidence

Party proposal

Opportunity would seek cross-party agreement on 30 gigawatts of total electricity capacity by 2050, support household electrification loans and community energy projects, combine energy regulators, and consolidate management of electricity distributors.

Who it covers
Electricity customers, generators, communities and industries moving to electric processes.
Timing
The capacity target is for 2050. The reviewed page does not give a timetable for each market reform.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Opportunity proposes ring-fencing government electricity-company dividends, described as around $500 million a year, and using future emissions-trading revenue for industry electrification. It acknowledges a loss of general Crown revenue that would need replacement.
Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Abundant Energy Policy page · Publication date not stated
Democracy & Te Tiriti

Lobbying transparency and political integrity

Register lobbyists, cap donations and establish an anti-corruption body.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A searchable register and donation disclosure could make political influence easier to trace, with ordinary contact with MPs explicitly excluded.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Donation restrictions narrow parties’ funding options; a new anti-corruption body adds public costs and must work alongside existing watchdogs.Evidence
Open questions
  • What is the launch timetable and funding path, including the costing unit active in election years and the new body’s independence safeguards?Evidence

Party proposal

Opportunity proposes a public lobbying register, a one-year cooling-off period between ministerial and lobbying roles, a $30,000 donation cap per party and donor per election cycle, and an independent anti-corruption body.

Who it covers
Professional lobbyists, ministers and senior officials, political parties and donors. The policy would restrict donations to enrolled voters and exclude ordinary contact with an MP from lobbying rules.
Timing
No implementation date specified in the reviewed source.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The party estimates around $52 million annually: $40 million for an anti-corruption body, $10 million for the Electoral Commission and $2 million for policy costing in election years. It says register costs could be met from existing justice budgets.
Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Clean Up Politics Policy page · Publication date not stated
Work & business

Science, innovation and stronger competition

Increase science and innovation funding, support small businesses and give the Commerce Commission stronger powers.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Itemised annual costs make the science, business and competition package auditable; the $1.33bn headline does not subtract speculative growth benefits.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • The recurring investment needs funding before uncertain long-term gains arrive. Stronger competition powers also require legal processes and implementation resources.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • When would each initiative start, and how would early spending be financed before Tax Reset is fully implemented?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Opportunity would increase science and technology funding, support small businesses, and strengthen Commerce Commission powers through the High Court.

Who it covers
Researchers, businesses, returning graduates and consumers. The July paper includes conditional student-loan interest forgiveness, rather than cancelling every returning graduate’s loan.
Timing
Longer-term R&D targets extend over a decade and to 2050. There is no full annual rollout schedule for the package.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Listed annual operating additions sum to $1,330.5m, consistent with the $1.33bn headline. The party proposes future Tax Reset revenue or a Budget allocation; the timing of funding remains a question.
Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Breakthrough Economy Policy page · Publication date not stated
Opportunity: full Breakthrough Economy paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Education

A long-term education plan and stronger early learning

Seek stable cross-party education planning, professional curriculum decisions, more teacher support and higher early-learning standards.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Links curriculum stability with teacher development and specific early-learning standards, rather than changing qualifications without addressing delivery support.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Tighter ratios and qualifications require staffing and funding. A durable cross-party plan depends on other parties participating and agreement on the council’s authority.Evidence
Open questions
  • Which reforms would be prioritised, how much would they cost, and what staffing, funding and legal protections would sustain them? These would be negotiated later.Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Opportunity would seek a ten-year cross-party education plan and an independent curriculum and assessment council. Within that plan it would advocate better teacher support, tighter early-learning quality standards, more community-owned provision, and stronger connections between academic and vocational education.

Who it covers
Learners, whānau and educators from early childhood through tertiary study. Proposed early-learning ratios are 1:3 for under-twos, 1:5 at 24–36 months and 1:8 from age three, with 80% minimum qualifications in teacher-led services.
Timing
A ten-year school and early-learning plan and a 20-year tertiary Skills and Learning Accord; no commencement date or complete rollout schedule is supplied.
Cost & funding stated by the party
No total cost is provided. Opportunity would seek additional teaching and early-learning funding through the cross-party plan, rather than publishing committed annual allocations in this paper.

The paper advocates these changes within a negotiated long-term plan. It would leave qualification decisions, including the proposed NCEA replacement, to the independent council.

Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Future-fit Education Policy page · Publication date not stated
Opportunity: full September 2026 education paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Democracy & Te Tiriti

Treaty commitments, public deliberation and Māori development

Honour Treaty commitments, review recent law changes, support a constitutional conversation and give capable Māori providers more authority.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Pairs Treaty commitments with practical finance and service-delivery proposals, while specifying transparency, financial integrity and individual-rights protections for devolved providers.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Changing marine-title and statutory settings changes existing legal arrangements. Devolution transfers responsibilities and requires capacity, mandates and accountability to be established.Evidence
Open questions
  • Which statutes and services would change first, who designs the constitutional process, and what funding and evaluation would accompany the transfer of authority?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Opportunity would honour settlements, restore customary marine-title settings from before the 2025 changes, and review statutory Treaty provisions law by law. It would support a national constitutional discussion with Māori participating as a Treaty partner, improve finance options for Māori projects and devolve services where results would improve.

Who it covers
Māori communities and asset owners, Crown agencies and people participating in constitutional discussions. Devolved providers would have operational autonomy alongside financial, rights and outcome accountability.
Timing
September 2026 paper; no implementation dates for the legislative review, constitutional process or devolution programme are stated.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Longer-term funding for proven providers and improved project financing are proposed. The paper does not give a total cost or new annual allocations.
Sources reviewed
Opportunity: Honouring Te Tiriti Policy page · Publication date not stated
Opportunity: full September 2026 Te Tiriti paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated

Te Pāti Māori

8 summaries
Living costs & tax

Tax revenue for housing and public services

Introduce a tax-free income threshold and higher wealth and company taxes, alongside a targeted kai rebate.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Specified income and wealth thresholds make the proposed distribution clearer; the paper itemises tax changes alongside income-tax relief and a kai rebate.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Relief is paired with higher company and wealth taxes. Wealth liability can apply to assets rather than cash, making valuation and payment arrangements important.Evidence
Open questions
  • Specify the +$4.1bn figure’s period and modelling assumptions, reconcile the $60,000 rebate boundary, and show implementation and compliance costs.Evidence

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori proposes a $30,000 tax-free income threshold, graduated net-wealth taxes, company tax of 33%, and a targeted kai tax rebate rather than a general GST exemption.

Who it covers
The wealth-tax paper exempts the first $2m per person, then applies 1.5%, 2% and 2.5% bands. The kai rebate’s $60,000 income boundary is worded differently in its table and prose and needs clarification.
Timing
Manifesto 2026; the paper does not state an implementation date or the fiscal period for its table.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The tax-table changes net to +$4.1bn at the displayed precision, with no stated period. Detailed tax modelling and a consolidated spending/borrowing schedule are not supplied.
Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: tax summary Policy page · Publication date not stated
Te Pāti Māori: full 2026 tax paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Health

Māori-led health and whānau wellbeing

Re-establish Te Aka Whai Ora, expand Māori-led services and fund mental health and workforce development.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Pairs Māori-led services and reduced patient charges with named annual mental-health and workforce allocations, addressing both access and service capacity.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Transferring 25% of health and ACC funding changes who commissions services; responsibilities and continuity need managing alongside additional spending.Evidence
Open questions
  • What is the whole package’s cost and rollout, and how would workforce, screening capacity and service accountability be measured?Evidence

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori would re-establish Te Aka Whai Ora, transfer 25% of health and ACC funding to Māori-led systems, and invest in free primary/dental care, mental health and workforce development.

Who it covers
Whānau and Māori-led services. The paper proposes bowel-screening ages of 45 generally and 35 for Māori and Pacific peoples.
Timing
Manifesto 2026; no complete programme start date or delivery schedule is stated.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The paper commits $500m annually to kaupapa Māori mental health and $1bn annually to workforce development. These are selected allocations, not the full package cost. The 25% transfer is a reallocation, not wholly additional spending.
Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: health summary Policy page · Publication date not stated
Te Pāti Māori: full 2026 health paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Housing

More homes and support to build on Māori land

Build homes on ancestral land, change public-housing allocations, strengthen renter protections and tax vacant homes.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • A four-year ancestral-land housing target and eviction timetable give measurable commitments, while rent rules aim to make increases more predictable.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • The vacancy tax raises costs for qualifying owners; allocating half of new social housing to Māori changes how other applicants access new supply.Evidence
Open questions
  • What funds the full package, what period does the $3bn estimate cover, and what building capacity and vacancy-tax exceptions apply?Evidence

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori proposes 2,000 homes on ancestral Māori land within four years, allocating half of new social housing to Māori, an initial rent freeze and a tax on long-vacant homes.

Who it covers
Whānau building on ancestral land, social-housing applicants and renters. The paper proposes a 2% annual capital-value vacancy tax for homes empty more than three months in a year.
Timing
Ancestral-land homes within four years; repeal no-cause evictions within 100 days. Rent increases would later track inflation with an improvements exception.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The paper proposes redirecting $3bn from repealing interest deductibility, without specifying the period. It does not give a complete housing-package cost or funding reconciliation.
Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: housing summary Policy page · Publication date not stated
Te Pāti Māori: full 2026 housing paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Energy & climate

An energy sovereignty fund

Create a $1bn Energy Sovereignty Fund for Māori ownership, capability and energy projects.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Multiple financing tools and workforce support could help Māori ownership and rural energy capability, rather than relying on grants alone.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Loans, guarantees and equity expose the Crown to different financial risks. A $1bn fund is not equivalent to $1bn of grants.Evidence
Open questions
  • What funds the investment, over what period, and which selection criteria, financial safeguards and measurable milestones would govern it?Evidence

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori proposes a $1 billion Energy Sovereignty Fund, a national energy independence plan, Māori energy workforce development, stronger rural energy capability and regulation focused on the public interest.

Who it covers
Māori energy workers, owners and industry, rural communities and the energy system. The paper includes grants, concessional finance, guarantees and equity/co-investment mechanisms.
Timing
Energy Sovereignty objective by 2035. Quantified targets and five-year milestones would be developed through the proposed National Energy Plan.
Cost & funding stated by the party
A $1bn fund is proposed, without a specified funding source or expenditure period. Different finance mechanisms should not all be counted as grants.
Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: energy sovereignty announcement Announcement · Published
Te Pāti Māori: full 2026 energy paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Democracy & Te Tiriti

Binding Treaty remedies and executive accountability

Make Treaty remedies binding, allow independent scrutiny of executive decisions, and fund Māori-led constitutional discussion.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Specifies remedies, independent oversight, a four-year fund and judicial recourse, giving clearer accountability mechanisms than a general promise to honour Te Tiriti.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Binding remedies and executive suspension powers alter Crown decision-making. Appointment independence, statutory tests and timely court review would matter for implementation.Evidence
Open questions
  • What would the Commission cost, how would appointments and serious-breach tests work, and what schedule and funding would deliver the wider legislative programme?Evidence

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori would make Waitangi Tribunal recommendations binding and create an independent Te Tiriti Commission able to suspend seriously non-compliant executive decisions, subject to High Court override. It proposes a Mātike Mai Fund and development of a domestic UN Indigenous-rights action plan.

Who it covers
The Crown and Māori communities. The Commission could scrutinise bills and report to Parliament, but would not invalidate Acts of Parliament.
Timing
Restore and resource UNDRIP action-plan development within the first 100 days; constitutional transformation target of 2040. No complete legislative delivery schedule is supplied.
Cost & funding stated by the party
$220m for the Mātike Mai Fund over four years. The paper does not separately state the Commission’s cost or a complete funding reconciliation.
Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: Te Tiriti entrenchment announcement Announcement · Published
Te Pāti Māori: full 2026 Te Tiriti Entrenchment paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Education

Māori-led education and fewer participation barriers

Give Māori communities more education authority, embed Māori knowledge in learning and remove barriers to education and training.

Current policy positionParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Links educational decision-making with cultural identity and participation, setting clear priorities for Māori learners and whānau.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Changing authority and curriculum roles requires responsibilities and educator support to be defined; the short summary does not set those out.Evidence
Open questions
  • Which legal powers, access measures, funding and delivery dates would implement this position? A full programme paper was not located.Evidence

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori supports Māori-led education authority, more Māori knowledge within learning, and greater Māori participation in education governance. It also proposes removing obstacles to whānau accessing education and training.

Who it covers
Māori learners, whānau and communities participating in education and training.
Timing
No implementation date is stated in the current official summary.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The reviewed summary does not specify a total budget or particular funding allocations.

A full current education programme paper was not located. This card is limited to the official position available now.

Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: Education & Training Policy page · Publication date not stated
Education

Te reo Māori in education and public services

Require age-appropriate te reo education and bilingual public institutions, backed by community language programmes and media support.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Connects school learning with community use, media and public services, providing several routes to sustain language transmission and regional dialects.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Compulsory provision and bilingual institutions need trained staff, teaching resources and sustained funding, alongside other education and service responsibilities.Evidence
Open questions
  • How would staffing, proficiency expectations, implementation stages and annual funding be set, and how would access and language outcomes be assessed?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori would make te reo Māori compulsory in education with age-appropriate progression, require bilingual public institutions, and support staff to learn the language. It would fund whānau, marae, hapū and iwi revitalisation and support Māori-language broadcasting and digital content.

Who it covers
Learners, educators, public servants, whānau and Māori-language providers. The full paper does not specify a Year 10 cutoff for compulsory provision.
Timing
The Manifesto 2026 paper does not state a commencement date or complete rollout.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Stable investment in language initiatives, broadcasting and public-service capability is proposed. The paper gives no total cost or annual allocations.
Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: Te Reo Māori summary Policy page · Publication date not stated
Te Pāti Māori: full 2026 Te Reo Māori paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
Work & business

Regional Māori enterprise funding and procurement

Fund regional Māori enterprise, reserve procurement for qualifying Māori firms and create Māori-led trade, research and investment institutions.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Regional financing and contract access could support Māori enterprise; the paper specifies fund size, financing mix and administration allowances.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • Reserved contracts narrow access for other suppliers. Revolving loans, Crown investments and grants have different repayment prospects and public risks.Evidence
Open questions
  • What are the lending terms and Super Fund safeguards, how is the Crown share funded, and what would the additional institutions cost?Evidence

Party proposal

Te Pāti Māori proposes a $4.5bn regional fund for Māori enterprise, employment and training, a 25% Māori government-procurement allocation, and trade, research and data institutions. It would replace the Overseas Investment Office with iwi-chaired regional bodies.

Who it covers
Fund activity would use 12 regional clusters. Reserved procurement would require firms to be wholly Māori-owned and Māori-governed.
Timing
$4.5bn over three years; no programme launch date is stated.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Half the fund would use Super Fund revolving loans; half Crown investments and grants. The fund allocates $90m to establishment and first-year delivery, then $45m annually to operations from year two. Separate institutional costs and a whole-package budget reconciliation are not supplied.
Sources reviewed
Te Pāti Māori: Economic Development announcement Announcement · Published
Te Pāti Māori: full 2026 Economic Development paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated

Selected coverage, not a ranking of policy quality. How we review the sources

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