Independent public-opinion data2026 election cycle / Public beta
FACT CHECKER · NEW ZEALAND 2026

Check the claim.
Follow the evidence.

National and Labour campaign claims, checked against primary sources. Clear ratings, the missing context and a record of what changed.

14 checks

NationalTax
Misleading

Was this the first tax relief in 14 years?

The claim fits broad personal-income tax scale relief since 2010, but “tax relief” without that qualification is too broad. Working for Families and Best Start tax credits changed in 2018.

NationalEconomy & prices
Misleading

Food inflation: 12.5% versus 1.9%

The two annual rates are supported, but this compares a 2023 peak with a 2026 reading, not whole-term averages. Positive 1.9% inflation still means food prices rose over the preceding year.

NationalTax
Misleading

Would Labour mean $2,263 in extra tax per household?

National’s arithmetic reproduces $2,263 by splitting its estimated funding gap equally across households and four years. It is not an established tax bill for an actual household, and the underlying gap is not independently confirmed here.

NationalEducation
True

Did National ban phones in classrooms?

A national rule required state-school boards to prohibit student phone use and access during the school day by 29 April 2024. Health, disability and learning-support exceptions apply.

NationalEducation
Misleading

School attendance: 64.3% versus the 2022 low

Both percentages match the Ministry’s revised series, but the low comparison year was affected by COVID-19 and illness. The ad omits the recovery already underway before National took office and cannot establish policy causation.

NationalEducation
True

Was structured literacy made compulsory?

Structured literacy approaches were made mandatory in the relevant state and state-integrated primary-school curriculum. The requirement does not establish universal perfect delivery or prove the size of its effects.

NationalPublic finances
Prediction · not rated

A surplus in 2028/29 is a forecast

Treasury’s PREFU forecasts a 2028/29 operating surplus. That future result depends on revenue and spending assumptions; it is not an achieved surplus or immediate repayment of debt.

Selected coverage, not a party ranking. Promises and predictions are labelled and do not receive factual accuracy ratings.

How we fact-check

We select specific, testable assertions from attributable statements and reader submissions. National and Labour face the same criteria. This is selected coverage, not a party scorecard or a claim that every campaign statement has been checked.

Evidence and ratings

We prioritise original statistics, legislation, agency documents and parliamentary records. A party’s statement establishes what it said; it is not independent proof against another party. For claims about a published plan, a reproduced calculation establishes its arithmetic, not whether its forecasts will happen.

True
The material factual assertion is supported by strong evidence.
Mostly True
Substantially correct, with relatively minor qualifications.
Mixed
Contains materially accurate and inaccurate elements.
Misleading
Missing context, framing or an inappropriate comparison materially distorts the assertion.
False
The material assertion is contradicted by reliable evidence.
Unverified
Reliable evidence is insufficient to establish a conclusion.

Context matters

Checks identify the period, publication date and definition of each measure. We distinguish headcount from full-time equivalents, price levels from inflation, adjusted from unadjusted statistics, and forecasts from results. Promises, predictions and opinions are labelled and receive no factual accuracy rating.

AI-assisted research and independence

The initial reports use AI-assisted research and calculations. Each report explains the sources read and the limits of its verification. External human editorial review has not been recorded for this initial batch. Sponsorship and newsletter distribution cannot change a verdict or replace the evidence requirements.

Corrections and incomplete information

Unresolved assertions remain Unverified or private drafts. A changed public conclusion retains the earlier rating, explanation and dated revision reason in its correction history. Readers can submit evidence, report an error or appeal a rating using the form below. Submissions require review before publication.

Checks describe the evidence available on their verification date. New statistics or a later policy announcement may change the answer; a later document does not establish what was true on an unknown earlier posting date.

Submit a claim or report an error

Help us check an attributable statement or review new evidence. A submission is a research lead, not a published verdict.