Independent public-opinion data2026 election cycle / Public beta
CAMPAIGN GUIDE · NEW ZEALAND 2026

Compare the parties.

See the proposals, follow the funding and read the evidence.

7 parties67 selected policy summariesChecked

Proposals and forecasts are party claims. Our checks trace the sources and arithmetic; coalition agreements may change delivery.

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Living costs & tax

Income, tax, savings and everyday costs.

4 summaries · 1 party

National

4 summaries

No new taxes and a specific visitor-levy freeze

Commit to no new taxes and freeze the visitor levy for at least three years. Existing taxes and levies are a separate question.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • The visitor levy has a defined three-year freeze and a published council-allocation formula, making that particular commitment measurable.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Trade-offs & risks
  • No new taxes does not stop bills rising under existing rules. The fiscal paper acknowledges bracket creep and leaves income-tax relief conditional.Evidence 1Evidence 2
Open questions
  • Which existing taxes, levies and fees could still rise, and when would any funded income-tax relief begin?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National says it would introduce no new taxes if re-elected. This is not an explicit blanket freeze on existing taxes or levies. It separately promises no increase in the International Visitor Levy for at least three years.

Who it covers
Taxpayers generally. The specific levy commitment covers overseas visitors who pay the International Visitor Levy.
Timing
The proposed next term of government; the visitor-levy freeze is for at least three years.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The visitor-levy reset starts 1 July 2027; its $105.1m net operating effect over 2027/28–2030/31 is included in the new fiscal schedule. The 12 October plan does not allocate a costed income-tax cut or an indexation timetable; it leaves future relief conditional on growing surpluses.

The fiscal paper explicitly acknowledges bracket creep as wages and prices rise. The visitor-levy freeze is not a guarantee about every existing tax, levy, fee or charge. Extra receipts from existing tax rules are not the same as a new tax rate.

Sources reviewed
National: no-new-taxes commitment Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: visitor-levy commitment Policy page · Publication date not stated
National: full visitor-levy reset paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published

Compulsory savings, a Baby Boost and family support

Make worker retirement saving compulsory, raise contributions over time, and add a payment at birth and support during parental leave.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Automatic enrolment and parental-leave top-ups extend retirement saving, including contributions for eligible parents who are not contributing themselves.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Higher compulsory employee payments reduce money available now. Employers also face rising contributions; suspending employee payments would require the specified hardship test.Evidence
Open questions
  • What explains the included $140.2m employer-cost revision, and what model supports the newly counted $506.1m net tax offset?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National would make KiwiSaver or an equivalent scheme compulsory for workers, lift combined default contributions to 12% by 2032, add $1,500 at birth and fund parental-leave contributions.

Who it covers
Workers, including the self-employed at the employee rate only. Equivalent employer schemes, parental leave and hardship have specified exceptions. Compulsory employer contributions would extend to contributing workers over 65.
Timing
Baby payments, parental-leave top-ups and over-65 employer contributions from 1 July 2027. Compulsory savings from 1 July 2028; employee and employer defaults reach 6% each on 1 April 2032.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The new plan implies $784m net over 2027/28–2030/31: $1,290.1m costs less a $506.1m net tax offset. Crown-employer costs are $140.2m above the original paper; changed assumptions need explanation. The tax offset already deducts reduced income tax.

The original paper excluded uncertain tax receipts. The consolidated plan includes them without publishing the model. The separate parental top-up revision is explained by longer parental leave; a costing revision alone is not a funding hole.

Sources reviewed
National: original KiwiSaver paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: consolidated fiscal plan Policy paper · Published

Extend and share paid parental leave

Extend paid parental leave to 30 weeks in stages and let parents share or overlap the same combined entitlement.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Adds paid weeks on a dated rollout and lets eligible parents choose overlapping leave, offering more flexibility around a new child.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • More weeks do not raise the weekly payment cap or expand eligibility. Overlapping leave uses the same total entitlement, rather than doubling it.Evidence
Open questions
  • When would shared-leave rules commence, and what fiscal conditions would trigger the longer-term 40-week ambition?Evidence

Party proposal

National would extend paid parental leave from 26 to 30 weeks in stages and allow parents to share or overlap the same combined entitlement. A 40-week longer-term ambition depends on future fiscal conditions.

Who it covers
Eligible parents under existing eligibility and maximum weekly-payment settings. Sharing the entitlement does not double the total weeks available for a child.
Timing
27 weeks from 1 July 2027, 28 from 1 July 2028 and 30 from 1 July 2029, for entitlements commencing on or after each date.
Cost & funding stated by the party
Displayed extension costs sum to $327.5m over 2027/28–2030/31, matching the fiscal plan. The standalone $327.4m total differs by $0.1m, consistent with rounding. The $121.9m KiwiSaver top-up is a separate row; shared-leave administration uses existing baselines.
Sources reviewed
National: parental-leave paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published

Jobseeker support, lower long-term payments and residency rules

Add employment support, reduce long-term Jobseeker payments and change residency rules, with specified protections for existing recipients and exemptions.

2026 election policyParty source
Our assessment & details

Our assessment

Analysis
Strengths
  • Targets practical case management and employment support at 30,000 work-ready Jobseekers, including specified places and programme funding for young people.Evidence
Trade-offs & risks
  • Lower long-term payments and longer eligibility waits reduce support for affected households, even when they have not secured a job.Evidence
Open questions
  • How robust are programme outcomes and hardship offsets, and how would drug-test safeguards and treatment access work?Evidence 1Evidence 2

Party proposal

National would add intensive employment support, reduce Jobseeker payments after two of the previous three years, introduce random drug tests and extend the main-benefit residency requirement.

Who it covers
The employment programme targets 30,000 work-ready Jobseekers. Long-term payment reductions are smaller for households with children; Supported Living Payment is unchanged. Existing main-benefit recipients, refugees and protected persons retain specified protections from the residency change.
Timing
Long-term payment reductions and the five-year residency requirement from 1 April 2028. The employment and savings table covers 2027/28–2030/31.
Cost & funding stated by the party
The plan uses $583m net savings, including $11m initial net cost. The welfare paper’s main saving is $572m from reduced payments, with other assistance offsetting one-fifth of the reduction; it does not assume extra employment-response savings from that payment change. Drug testing uses around $1.5m annually from MSD baselines.
Sources reviewed
National: welfare policy paper Policy paper · Publication date not stated
National: new fiscal plan Policy paper · Published

Selected coverage, not a ranking of policy quality. How we review the sources

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